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ITC in a Global Growth-Climate Model with CCS: The Value of Induced Technical Change for Climate Stabilization

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  • Reyer Gerlagh

Abstract

We assess the effect of ITC in a global growth model, Ð DEMETER-1CCS Ð with learning-by-doing, where energy savings, energy transition and carbon capturing and sequestration (CCS) are the three main options for emissions reductions. The model accounts for technological change based on learning by doing, embodied in capital installed in previous periods. We run five scenarios: one baseline scenario with no climate change policy and four stabilization scenarios in which atmospheric CO2 concentrations are stabilized at 550, 500, 450, and 400 ppmv. We find that the timing of emissions reductions and the investment strategy is relatively independent of the endogeneity of technological change. More important is the vintagesÕ structure of production. ITC does reduce costs by approximately a factor of 2, however, these benefits only materialize after some decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Reyer Gerlagh, 2006. "ITC in a Global Growth-Climate Model with CCS: The Value of Induced Technical Change for Climate Stabilization," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 223-240.
  • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:2006se-a11
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    Cited by:

    1. Grimaud, André & Lafforgue, Gilles & Magné, Bertrand, 2011. "Climate change mitigation options and directed technical change: A decentralized equilibrium analysis," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 938-962.
    2. Gerlagh, Reyer, 2007. "Measuring the value of induced technological change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5287-5297, November.
    3. Amigues, Jean-Pierre & Lafforgue, Gilles & Moreaux, Michel, 2012. "Optimal Timing of Carbon Capture Policies Under Alternative CCS Cost Functions," TSE Working Papers 12-318, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    4. Amigues, Jean-Pierre & Lafforgue, Gilles & Moreaux, Michel, 2016. "Optimal timing of carbon capture policies under learning-by-doing," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 20-37.
    5. Grimaud, André & Lafforgue, Gilles & Magné, Bertrand, 2007. "Innovation Markets in the Policy Appraisal of Climate Change Mitigation," IDEI Working Papers 481, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    6. Kesicki, Fabian & Anandarajah, Gabrial, 2011. "The role of energy-service demand reduction in global climate change mitigation: Combining energy modelling and decomposition analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 7224-7233.
    7. Hallegatte, Stephane & Heal, Geoffrey & Fay, Marianne & Treguer, David, 2011. "From growth to green growth -- a framework," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5872, The World Bank.
    8. Lafforgue, Gilles & Magné, Bertrand & Moreaux, Michel, 2008. "Energy substitutions, climate change and carbon sinks," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(4), pages 589-597, November.
    9. Fischer, Carolyn, 2008. "Emissions pricing, spillovers, and public investment in environmentally friendly technologies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 487-502, March.
    10. Olivia RICCI, 2012. "Politiques de soutien à la capture et au stockage du carbone en France : un modèle d'équilibre général calculable," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2257, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    11. Grimaud, André & Rouge, Luc, 2014. "Carbon sequestration, economic policies and growth," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 307-331.
    12. Ayong Le Kama, Alain & Fodha, Mouez & Lafforgue, Gilles, 2009. "Optimal Carbon Capture and Storage Policies," TSE Working Papers 09-095, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    13. GRIMAUD André & LAFFORGUE Gilles & MAGNE Bertrand, 2007. "Economic growth and Climate change in a decentralized Economy: A Theoretical and Empirical Approach," LERNA Working Papers 07.04.225, LERNA, University of Toulouse.
    14. Olivia Ricci, 2012. "Politiques de soutien à la capture et au stockage du carbone en France : un modèle d’équilibre général calculable," Working Papers 1209, Chaire Economie du climat.
    15. Lessmann, Kai & Marschinski, Robert & Edenhofer, Ottmar, 2009. "The effects of tariffs on coalition formation in a dynamic global warming game," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 641-649, May.
    16. André Grimaud & Luc Rouge, 2009. "Séquestration du carbone et politique climatique optimale," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 53-69.
    17. Ricci, Olivia, 2012. "Providing adequate economic incentives for bioenergies with CO2 capture and geological storage," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 362-373.
    18. Amigues, Jean-Pierre & Lafforgue, Gilles & Moreaux, Michel, 2014. "Optimal Timing of Carbon Capture and Storage Policies Under Learning-by-doing," TSE Working Papers 14-472, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    19. Elizabeth Stanton, 2011. "Negishi welfare weights in integrated assessment models: the mathematics of global inequality," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(3), pages 417-432, August.
    20. Olivia RICCI, 2011. "Providing adequate economic incentives for bioenergies with CO2 capture and geological storage," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2259, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    21. Olivia Ricci, 2011. "Providing adequate economic incentives for bioenergies with CO2 capture and geological storage," Working Papers halshs-00829641, HAL.
    22. Olivia Ricci, 2012. "Politiques de soutien à la capture et au stockage du carbone en France : un modèle d'équilibre général calculable," Working Papers halshs-00828090, HAL.
    23. Grimaud, André & Lafforgue, Gilles & Magné, Bertrand, 2008. "Decentralized Equilibrium Analysis in a Growth Model with Directed Technical Change and Climate Change Mitigation," IDEI Working Papers 537, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    24. Amigues, Jean-Pierre & Moreaux, Michel, 2016. "Pollution Abatement v.s. Energy Efficiency Improvements," TSE Working Papers 16-626, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    25. Kuik, Onno & Brander, Luke & Tol, Richard S.J., 2009. "Marginal abatement costs of greenhouse gas emissions: A meta-analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1395-1403, April.

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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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