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The Racial Dynamics of US Neighborhoods and Their Housing Prices from 1950 through 1990

Author

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  • Daniel Hartley
  • Jonathan Rose
  • Becky Schneirov

Abstract

In this paper, we use k-medians clustering to categorize urban neighborhoods according to the evolution of their Black population share from 1950 through 1990. We use the resulting classifications to compare the dynamics of median home values and rents for census tracts with rapid racial change, tracts with gradual racial turnover, tracts with a stable high Black population share, and tracts with a stable low Black population share. Our results imply that Black households that bought homes in neighborhoods with rapid racial change were likely to have lost money or barely broken even by 1990.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Hartley & Jonathan Rose & Becky Schneirov, 2025. "The Racial Dynamics of US Neighborhoods and Their Housing Prices from 1950 through 1990," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 115, pages 471-476, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:115:y:2025:p:471-76
    DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251121
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • N32 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N92 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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