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An Evolutionary Perspective on Updating Risk and Ambiguity Preferences

Author

Listed:
  • Philipp Sadowski
  • Todd Sarver

Abstract

Using an evolutionary approach, we address the prominent tension in the literature that updating of ambiguity and nonexpected-utility preferences cannot, in general, be both dynamically consistent and consequentialist. Perhaps not surprisingly, evolutionary optimality requires dynamic consistency. The more subtle insight is the evolutionary optimality of systematic violations of consequentialism. We base our investigation on the model of adaptive preferences (Sadowski and Sarver 2024), which generalizes the model of Robson (1996) and nests variants of many well-known models in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Sadowski & Todd Sarver, 2026. "An Evolutionary Perspective on Updating Risk and Ambiguity Preferences," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 214-232, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aerins:v:8:y:2026:i:2:p:214-32
    DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20240698
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • B52 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Modern Monetary Theory;
    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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