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Real-World Effectiveness of the Influenza Vaccine in Young Children

Author

Listed:
  • Michael L. Anderson
  • Carlos Dobkin
  • Devon Gorry
  • Hung-Fu Tseng

Abstract

Influenza causes substantial illness among children. RCTs demonstrate that the influenza vaccine reduces active-surveillance-detected influenza but have insufficient samples to examine outcomes such as health care provider visits. This study documents that children whose well-child visits occur when the seasonal influenza vaccine is broadly available are 23.4 pp more likely to be vaccinated than children whose visits do not. Using large administrative health care datasets, we leverage this vaccination-rate variation to show that the vaccine reduces outpatient and ED visits significantly. The results imply that making pediatric influenza vaccinations more convenient could substantially increase vaccination rates and reduce health care expenditures.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael L. Anderson & Carlos Dobkin & Devon Gorry & Hung-Fu Tseng, 2026. "Real-World Effectiveness of the Influenza Vaccine in Young Children," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 210-228, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejapp:v:18:y:2026:i:2:p:210-28
    DOI: 10.1257/app.20240297
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    JEL classification:

    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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