International Journal of Forecasting

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1993, Volume 9, Issue 2

• 271-272 Leading economic indicators: New approaches and forecasting records : Kajal Lahiri and Geoffrey H. Moore, eds. 1992 (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK), 464 pp., paperback [UK pound]15.95, US$22.95, ISBN 0-521-43858-6
  by Holden, Kenneth [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 272-272 Dynamical systems. An introduction with applications in economics and biology : Pierre N.M. Tu, 1992 (Springer, Berlin-Heidelberg), xi + 252 pp., DM 49.80, ISBN 3-540-55780-6
  by Ray, W. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 273-274 Nonlinear modeling and forecasting : Martin Casdagli and Stephen Eubank (eds.), 1992, (Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA), 533 pp., paper-back $34.50, ISBN 0-201-58788-2
  by Chen, Rong [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 274-275 Forecasting elections : Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 275-277 Business cycles: Theory, history, indicators, and forecasting : Victor Zarnowitz, 1992, (University of Chicago Press, Chicago), xvii + 593 pp., $70.00, ISBN 0-226-97890-7
  by Boehm, Ernst A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 277-278 Guide to forecasts and projections : Don Pallais and Stephen D. Holton, 1992, (Practitioners Publishing, Fort Worth, TX), 2 vols., $120.00
  by Forsyth, Jay D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 278-279 Selling the story: The layman's guide to collecting and communicating demographic information : William Dunn, 1992, (American Demographic Books, Ithaca, NY), 245 pp., paperback $27.50, hardback $39.95, ISBN 0-936889-14-4
  by Hamrick, Karen S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 281-283 A critique of recent papers on "Trends, random walks, and break points in macroeconomic time series"
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 284-285 "Rule-based forecasting: Development and validation of an expert systems approach to combining time series extrapolations": Fred Collopy and J. Scott Armstrong, Management science, 38 (1992) 1394-1414
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 285-285 "A simple nonparameteric test of predictive performance": M. Hashem Pesaran and Allan Timmerman, Journal of business and economic statistics, 10 (1992) 461-465
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-3 Neural networks: Forecasting breakthrough or passing fad?
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 5-22 The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study
  by Makridakis, Spyros & Chatfield, Chris & Hibon, Michele & Lawrence, Michael & Mills, Terence & Ord, Keith & Simmons, LeRoy F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 23-24 A personal view of the M2-competition
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 24-25 Computational aspects and a personal view of the M2-competition
  by Hibon, Michele [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 25-26 The M2-competition: Some personal views
  by Lawrence, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 26-26 The M2-competition: Some personal reflections
  by Mills, Terence C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 28-29 The value of empirical work: A personal view
  by Makridakis, Spyros [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 31-37 Geoffrey H. Moore and dynamic statistical methods
  by Klein, Philip A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 39-48 Monitoring business conditions at the CIBCR
  by Cullity, John P. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 49-60 Forecasting criminal sentencing decisions
  by Simester, Duncan I. & Brodie, Roderick J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 61-76 Forecasting the Swedish unemployment rate VAR vs. transfer function modelling
  by Edlund, Per-Olov & Karlsson, Sune [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 77-83 Evaluation of alternative leading indicators of British Columbia industrial employment
  by Holmes, Richard A. & Shamsuddin, Abul F. M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 85-93 The effect of additive outliers on the estimates from aggregated and disaggregated ARIMA models
  by Hotta, Luiz Koodi [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 95-108 Constrained forecasting in autoregressive time series models: A Bayesian analysis
  by de Alba, Enrique [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 109-115 The ambiguous nature of forecasts in project evaluation: Diagnosing the over-optimism of rate-of-return analysis
  by Ascher, William [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 117-120 Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test
  by Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 121-129 Software reviews
  by Tashman, Leonard J. & Tashman, Peter A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 131-133 A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods : Stephen M. Millett and Edward J. Honton, 1991, (Battelle Press, Columbus, OH), 99 pp. $19.95. ISBN 0 935470 63 8
  by Young, Peg [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 133-134 Scanning the future: A long term scenario study of the world economy 1990-2015 : Central Planning Bureau, 1992, (Sdu Publishers, The Hague), 246 pp., ISBN 9039902046
  by Hallett, Andrew Hughes [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 134-135 Nonlinear dynamics, chaos, and instability : William A. Brock, David A. Hsieh and Blake LeBaron, 1991, (MIT Press, Cambridge) 328, pp. [UK pound]29.25. ISBN 0-262-02329-6
  by de Gooijer, Jan G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 135-136 Forecasting for technologists and engineers : Brian C. Twiss, 1992, IEE Management of Technology Series 15 (Peter Peregrinus, London) pp. xv + 221, [UK pound]19.00 paperback. ISBN 0 86341 285 8
  by Ray, W. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 137-137 Municipal forecasting practice: 'Demand' and 'supply' side perspectives" : Howard A. Frank and Jane McCollough, International Journal of Public Administration, 15 (1992) 1669-1696
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 138-138 The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting : D.S. Turner, Journal of Forecasting, 9 (1990), 315-345
  by McNees, Stephen [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 26-28 Personal views of the M2-competition
  by Ord, J. Keith & Geriner, Pamela A. & Reilly, David & Winkel, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 138-139 On predictive least squares principles : C.Z. Wei, The Annals of Statistics 20 (1992), 1-42
  by De Gooijer, Jan G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 137-138 Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, Public Opinion Quarterly, 54 (1990), 609-626
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 543-544 Editorial policies for the publication of controversial findings
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 545-557 Business planning under uncertainty: Will we attain our goal?
  by Wu, Lilian Shiao-Yen & Hosking, J. R. M. & Doll, Jeanne M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 559-573 The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters
  by Benson, P. George & Onkal, Dilek [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 575-582 Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities
  by Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 583-593 An estimation model for country risk rating
  by Oral, Muhittin & Kettani, Ossama & Cosset, Jean-Claude & Daouas, Mohamed [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 595-611 Combining vector forecasts to predict thoroughbred horse race outcomes
  by White, Edna M. & Dattero, Ronald & Flores, Benito [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 613-626 Predictive accuracy of simple versus complex econometric market share models: Theoretical and empirical results
  by Danaher, Peter J. & Brodie, Roderick J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 627-633 An extended review of the X11ARIMA seasonal adjustment package
  by Scott, Stuart [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 635-635 Forecasting structural time series models and the kalman filter: Andrew Harvey, 1989, (Cambridge University Press), 554 pp., ISBN 0-521-32196-4
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 637-637 Into the 21st century: A handbook for a sustainable future: Brian Burroughs, Alan Mayne and Paul Newbury, 1992, (Adamantine Press, London), pp. 442, softback [UK pound]15.95, hardback[UK pound]32.50
  by Miles, Ian [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 639-641 Encyclopedia of world problems and human potential: Union of international associations, 1991, (K.G. Saur, Munich), Vol. 1, 950 pp; Vol. 2, 1188 pp., hardcover, ISBN 3-598-10842-7, US$400.00
  by Halal, William E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 641-643 Taming the future: Kenneth E.F. Watt, 1991, (Contextured Web Press, Davis, CA), pp. 163, ISBN 1-880014-01-7, US$40.00
  by Porter, Alan L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 643-644 Modeling and forecasting demand in tourism: Stephen F. Witt and Christine A. Witt, 1992, (Academic Press, London), pp. 195, ISBN 0-127-60740-4, [UK pound]35.00
  by Mahmoud, Essam [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 644-646 Forecasting systems for operations management: Stephen A. Delurgio and Carl D. Bhame, 1991, (Business One Irwin, Homewood, IL), pp. 648, hardback, US$49.95
  by Fields, Paul J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 646-646 The art of modeling dynamic systems: Forecasting for chaos, randomness, and determinism: F. Morrison, 1991, (Wiley-Interscience, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York), pp. 387, ISBN 0-471-52004-7, $54.95
  by Priesmeyer, H. Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 647-648 Forecasting with dynamic regression models: Alan Pankratz, 1991, (John Wiley and Sons, New York), ISBN 0-471-61528-5, [UK pound]47.50
  by Kennedy, Peter [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 649-649 Journal of business research : "Analysis and comparison of financial analysts', time series, and combined forecast of annual earnings", 24 (1992) 269-280
  by Lobo, Gerald J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 650-651 Journal of the American statistics association: "Likelihood and bayesian prediction of chaotic systems", 86 (1991) 938-952
  by Berliner, L. Mark [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 651-652 Journal of behavioral decision making: "The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting", 5 (1992) 39-52
  by Sanders, Nada R. & Ritzman, Larry P. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 649-650 Leading economic indicators: "A leading indicator of inflation based on interest rates"
  by Lahiri, Kajal [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 637-639 The next three futures: Paradigms of things to come: W. Warren Wagar, 1992,(Adamantine Press, London), pp.xxi + 165, [UK pound]13.95
  by Miles, Ian [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 635-637 Bayesian forecasting and dynamic models: Mike West and Jeff Harrison, 1989,(Springer), 704 pp., ISBN 0-387-97025-8
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 289-299 Population forecasting: Guest editors' introduction
  by Ahlburg, Dennis A. & Land, Kenneth C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 301-314 The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts
  by Alho, Juha M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 315-327 Stochastic demographic forecasting
  by Lee, Ronald D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 329-338 Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach
  by Pflaumer, Peter [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 339-365 Projecting the number of new AIDS cases in the United States
  by Bloom, David E. & Glied, Sherry [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 367-384 The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa : Short- and long-term projections
  by Bos, Eduard & Bulatao, Rodolfo A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 385-391 Stochastic population forecasts and their uses
  by Tuljapurkar, Shripad [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 393-411 Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality
  by Carter, Lawrence R. & Lee, Ronald D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 413-432 Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods
  by McNown, Robert & Rogers, Andrei [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 433-458 Projecting the future size and health status of the US elderly population
  by Manton, Kenneth G. & Stallard, Eric & Singer, Burt [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 459-476 Immigration and immigrant generations in population projections
  by Edmonston, Barry & Passel, Jeffrey S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 477-493 Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women
  by Morgan, S. Philip & Chen, Renbao [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 495-508 Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states
  by Smith, Stanley K. & Sincich, Terry [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 509-527 A comparison of four methods for projecting households
  by Mason, Andrew & Racelis, Rachel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 529-539 Into the twenty-first century with British households
  by Spicer, Keith & Diamond, Ian & Ni Bhrolchain, Marie [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 135-156 Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing, and forecasting
  by De Gooijer, Jan G. & Kumar, Kuldeep [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 157-173 On continuous-time threshold autoregression
  by Brockwell, P. J. & Hyndman, R. J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 175-185 An object oriented approach to forecasting
  by Assimakopoulos, Vassilis & Konida, Alexandra [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 187-199 Non-cointegration and causality: Implications for VAR modeling
  by Shoesmith, Gary L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 201-217 Forecasting economic activity rates
  by Briscoe, G. & Wilson, R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 219-231 Using stochastic simulation to test the effect of seasonal adjustment on forecast standard errors of motor gasoline demand
  by Joutz, Frederick & Trost, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 233-241 Top-down or bottom-up: Aggregate versus disaggregate extrapolations
  by Dangerfield, Byron J. & Morris, John S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 243-249 Identification of key attributes, gap analysis and simulation techniques in forecasting market potential of ethical pharmaceutical products
  by Kontzalis, Panos [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 251-267 Bridging the gap between theory and practice in forecasting
  by Mahmoud, Essam & DeRoeck, Richard & Brown, Robert & Rice, Gillian [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 269-270 The practice of econometrics: Classical and contemporary : Ernst R. Berndt, (Addison-Wesley Publishing company, Reading, Mass., 1991), pp. 702, $18.95
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 270-271 Japanese financial market research : W.T. Ziemba, W. Bailey and Y. Hamao, eds., (Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1991), pp. 616, $69.50, Dfl 175.00
  by Flavell, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 271-274 Seasonal adjustment as a practical problem : F.A.G. den Butter and M.M.G. Fase, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1991), pp. iv + 226, US$94.50, Dfl 165.00
  by Henry, Brian [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 274-275 The evolution of the future : Frank W. Elwell, (Praeger publishers, New York, NY, 1991), pp. 144. $37.95
  by Wilson, Ian [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 277-279 Management science : D. Bunn and G. Wright, "Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis", 37 (1991) 501-518
  by Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 279-279 Public opinion quarterly : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 279-282 American economic review : Gordon Leitch and J. Ernest Tanner, "Economic forecast evaluation: Profit versus the conventional error measures", 81 (1991) 580-590
  by Filders, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-2 Influencing forecasting practice
  by Filde, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 3-13 Forecasting stock market prices: Lessons for forecasters
  by Granger, Clive W. J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 15-26 Exploring judgemental forecasting
  by Lawrence, Michael & O'Connor, Marcus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 27-43 An empirical analysis of the accuracy of SA, OLS, ERLS and NRLS combination forecasts
  by Aksu, Celal & Gunter, Sevket I. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 45-59 Nonnegativity restricted least squares combinations
  by Gunter, Sevket I. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 61-67 Trading days, seasonal unit root, and variance change
  by Coelho, Carlos Henrique Motta & Tenenblat, Moyses [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 69-80 Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons
  by Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 81-98 The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 99-100 Error measures and the choice of a forecast method
  by Ahlburg, Dennis A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 100-102 A commentary on error measures
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 102-103 Comparing forecasts in finance
  by Taylor, Stephen J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 103-104 A statistician in search of a population
  by Thompson, Patrick A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 104-107 On seeking a best performance measure or a best forecasting method
  by Winkler, Robert L. & Murphy, Allan H. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 107-109 Generalization and communication issues in the use of error measures: A reply
  by Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 109-111 On error measures: A response to the commentators -- the best error measure?
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 113-114 Successful business forecasting : J.C. Compton and S.B. Compton, 1990, (Liberty Hall Press), pp. 202, ISBN 0-8306-0207-0, $21.95
  by Yokum, Thomas [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 116-117 Exchange rate forecasting : Christian Dunis and Michael Feeny, eds., (Probus Publishing Company, Chicago, IL.), pp. 356
  by Stallings, David [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 118-119 Prediction, projection and forecasting : Thomas L. Saaty and Luis G. Vargas, (Kluwer, Norwell, MA, 1991), pp. 251, $57.50
  by Goodwin, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 409-411 Fundamental aspects of forecasting in organizations
  by Schultz, Randall L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 413-420 Time series characteristics and the widths of judgemental confidence intervals
  by O'Connor, Marcus & Lawrence, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 421-433 Judgmental adjustment of forecasts: A comparison of methods
  by Flores, Benito E. & Olson, David L. & Wolfe, Christopher [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 435-455 Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts
  by Murphy, Allan H. & Winkler, Robert L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 457-466 Economic, organizational, and political influences on biases in forecasting state sales tax receipts
  by Bretschneider, Stuart & Gorr, Wilpen [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 467-472 Predicting the job performance of managers: What do the experts know?
  by Ahlburg, Dennis A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 473-481 A Kalman filter formulation for noisy regional job data
  by Coomes, Paul A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 483-492 Population, labour force and unemployment in Andalusia: Prospects for 1993
  by Otero, JoseM. & Martin, Guillermina & Trujillo, Francisco & Fernandez, Antonio [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 493-500 Commodity prices and the CPI: Cointegration, information, and signal extraction
  by Pecchenino, R. A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 501-513 On the cumulated multi-step-ahead predictions of vector autoregressive moving average processes
  by de Gooijer, Jan G. & Klein, Andre [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 515-529 The effect of nonstationarity on combined forecasts
  by Miller, Christopher M. & Clemen, Robert T. & Winkler, Robert L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 531-532 The econometric analysis of time series : A.C. Harvey, second edition (MIT Press, Cambridge, 1990) pp. 387, $47.50
  by Weller, Barry R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 532-533 Time Series : Sir Maurice Kendall and J. Keith Ord, third edition (Edward Arnold, Great Britain, 1990) pp. 296
  by Holmes, William M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 535-536 Business forecasting methods : Jeffrey Jarrett, second edition (Basil Blackwell Ltd., Oxford, UK, 1991) pp. 463, $19.95
  by Price, Barbara A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 536-538 Statistical analysis and forecasting of economic structural change : Peter Hackl (ed.), (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1989) pp. 489, $106.00
  by Oller, Lars-Erik [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 538-539 Economic structural change: Analysis and forecasting : Peter Hackl and Anders H. Westlund (eds.), (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1991) pp. 385, DM 148
  by Holden, Ken [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 539-540 Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 540-541 Oil and gas forecasting: Reflections of a petroleum geologist : Lawrence J. Drew, (Oxford University Press, New York, 1990) $45.00
  by Arafa, Hazem [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 543-553 Software reviews
  by Tashman, Leonard J. & Withycombe, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 257-270 New technology adoption in an innovative marketplace: Micro- and macro-level decision making models
  by Bridges, Eileen & Coughlan, Anne T. & Kalish, Shlomo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 271-282 The use of biased predictors in marketing research
  by Hill, R. Carter & Cartwright, Phillip A. & Arbaugh, Julia F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 283-297 Probability distributions of short-term electricity peak load forecasts
  by Adams, Gail & Allen, P. Geoffrey & Morzuch, Bernard J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 299-315 Using belief networks to forecast oil prices
  by Abramson, Bruce & Finizza, Anthony [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 317-330 Exponential smoothing: The effect of initial values and loss functions on post-sample forecasting accuracy
  by Makridakis, Spyros & Hibon, Michele [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 331-334 Evaluation of the M-competition forecasts via log mean squared error ratio
  by Thompson, Patrick A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 335-337 Assessing the statistical characteristics of the mean absolute error or forecasting
  by Wun, Lap-Ming & Pearn, Wen Lea [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 339-347 ARIMA forecasts with restrictions derived from a structural change
  by Guerrero, Victor M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 349-356 Forecast selection when all forecasts are not equally recent
  by Brown, Lawrence D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 375-384 Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 385-387 The foreign exchange market: Theory and econometric evidence : R.T. Baillie and P.C. McMahon, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1989)
  by Tivegna, Massimo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 387-388 Business cycles and forecasting : L.M. Valentine and D.F. Ellis, eighth edition (South-Western Publishing Company, Cincinnati, Dallas and Livermore, 1991) pp. 586, [UK pound]16.95
  by Thompson, J. L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 388-389 Economic forecasting: an introduction : K. Holden, D.A. Peel and J.L. Thompson,(Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1991) ISBN 0521 356121, 0521 35692x. h/b [UK pound]30.00, $44.5; p/b [UK pound]10.95, $16.95
  by Fisher, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 389-390 Time series analysis univariate and multivariate methods : William W.S. Wei, (Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 1990)
  by Lai, T. H. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 392-392 The new palgrave: Time series and statistics : John Eatwell, Murray Milgate and Perter Newman, (W.W. Norton, New York, 1990)
  by Niemira, Michael P. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 395-398 Software reviews
  by Picket, John C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 400-400 The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts : R.A. Kolb, and H.O. Stekler, Journal of Macroeconomics 12 (1990) 111-123
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 401-401 The role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasting : D.S. Turner, Journal of Forecasting 9 (1990) 315-345
  by McNees, Stephen [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 403-406 Comparing classification techniques
  by Kennedy, Peter [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 400-401 Innocents in the forest: Forecasting and research methods : P. Narayan Pant and William H. Starbuck, Journal of Management 16 (1990) 433-460
  by Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 392-393 Uncertainty in national population forecasting: Issues, backgrounds, analyses, recommendations : N.C. Keilman, (Swets & Zeitlinger, 1990) pp. 211
  by Alho, J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 123-126 Forecasting in the 21st century
  by Makridakis, Spyros [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 127-140 Automatic forecasting using explanatory variables: A comparative study
  by Geriner, Pamela Texter & Ord, J. Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 141-149 The effect of group interaction processes on performance in time series extrapolation
  by Ang, Soon & O'Connor, Marcus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 151-154 The effect of graphical adjustment on forecast accuracy
  by Willemain, Thomas R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 155-163 Professional forecast error as a function of a variable forecast horizon: A decomposition analysis
  by Smith, Kenneth L. & Brocato, Joe & Dabbs, Russell E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 165-170 Do consensus forecasts exist?
  by Schnader, M. H. & Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 171-181 In-sample and out-of-sample forecasts of wage adjustment in indexed and non-indexed labour contracts
  by Christofides, Louis N. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 183-197 Empirical Bayes methods for telecommunications forecasting
  by Greis, Noel P. & Gilstein, C. Zachary [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 199-208 Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series
  by Franses, Philip Hans [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 209-230 Automatic forecasting software: A survey and evaluation
  by Tashman, Leonard J. & Leach, Michael L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 231-238 Using interindustry input-output relations as a Bayesian prior in employment forecasting models
  by LeSage, James P. & Magura, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 239-240 On confusing lead time demand with h-period-ahead forecasts
  by Chatfield, Christopher & Koehler, Anne B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 241-241 A managerial guide to business forecasting : Dennis Ellis and Jay Nathan, (Graceway Publishing Co., Flushing, NY, 1990), paperback, pp. 162
  by Copulsky, William [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 242-242 A short history of the future : W. Warren Wager, (The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1989), pp. 323
  by Copulsky, William [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 243-245 Introductory business forecasting : Paul Newbold and Theodore Bos, (South-western, Cincinnati, OH,1990), pp. 497
  by Heitmann, George [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 245-246 What futurists believe : Joseph F. Coates and Jennifer Jarrett, (Lomond Publication, Inc., Mt. Airy, MD and The World Future Society, Bethesda, MD, 1989)
  by Fisher, Joseph L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 248-249 Econometric modelling of agricultural commodity markets : David Hallam, (Routledge, London, UK, 1990), [UK pound]35.00, ISBN 0-415-00405-5
  by Byers, David [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 249-249 Non-linear time series : Howell Tong, (Clarendon Press, Oxford, UK, 1990), pp. 564, [UK pound]50.00
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 251-252 Database models and managerial intuition: 50% model +50% manager : Robert C. Blattberg and Stephen J. Hoch, Management Science 36 (1990) 887-899
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 252-252 A cautionary tale about multiple regression : Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review 81 (1991) 48-49
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 253-254 Combining forecasts: Operational adjustments to theoretical optimal rules : David C. Schmittlein, Jinho Kim and Donald G. Morrison, Management Science 36 (1990) 1044-1056
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 254-254 Prelaunch forecasting of new automobiles : Glen L. Urban, John R. Hauser and John H. Roberts, Management Science 36 (1990) 401-421
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 252-253 Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 242-243 Economic modelling in the OECD countries : Homa Motamen, ed., (Chapman and Hall, London, U.K., 1988), pp. 746, [UK pound]89.00
  by Holden, Ken [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-2 Is there a gap between forecasting theory and practice? A personal view
  by DeRoeck, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 3-16 Forecasting residential consumption of natural gas using monthly and quarterly time series
  by Liu, Lon-Mu & Lin, Maw-Wen [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 17-30 Forecasting with vector ARMA and state space methods
  by Aksu, Celal & Narayan, Jack Y. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 31-37 Prediction intervals for multiplicative Holt-Winters
  by Chatfield, Chris & Yar, Mohammed [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 39-45 Forecast sufficiency characteristic: Construction and application
  by Krzysztofowicz, Roman & Long, Dou [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 47-55 Beta likelihood models of probabilistic forecasts
  by Krzysztofowicz, Roman & Long, Dou [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 57-63 Alternative methods of combining security analysts' and statistical forecasts of annual corporate earnings
  by Lobo, Gerald J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 65-76 Forecasting the educational participation rate of 16-year olds in England and Wales: A socio-economic approach
  by Whitfield, Keith & Wilson, R. A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 77-104 Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications
  by Merz, Joachim [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 105-106 Forecasting, planning and strategy for the 21st century : Spyros Makridakis, 1990, (Free Press, New York), pp. 293, $29.95
  by Schnaars, Steven P. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 106-108 Practical sales forecasting : E.J. Davis, (McGraw-Hill Book Company, London, 1988), pp. x + 291, $13.95
  by Speece, Mark W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 108-108 Business forecasting in a Lotus 1-2-3 environment : Colin Lewis, (Wiley, Chichester, UK, 1989), pp. 98 (software included), [UK pound]19.95
  by Jex, Colin [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 117-118 The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior : Karel J. Alsem, Peter S.H. Leeflang and Jan C. Reuyl, International Journal of Research in Marketing 6 (1989) 183-198
  by Brodie, Roderick J. & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 118-118 Evaluating forecast performance in an inventory control system : Everette S. Gardner Jr., Management Science 36 (1990) 490-499
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 119-119 Sliding simulation: A new approach to time series forecasting : Spyros Makridakis, Management Science 36 (1990) 505-512
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 118-119 Time series models for count or qualitative observations : A.C. Harvey and C. Fernandes, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 7 (1989) 407-422
  by Winkler, Rober L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 108-109 Envisioning information : Edward R. Tufte, (Graphics Press, Cheshire, CT, 1990), pp. 126, $48.00
  by Rosen, Barry N. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 449-451 The role of time series analysis in forecasting: A personal view
  by de Gooijer, Jap G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 453-461 Forecasting the business cycle using survey data
  by Oller, Lars-Erik [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 463-468 Use of preliminary values in forecasting industrial production
  by Boucelham, Jamel & Terasvirta, Timo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 469-477 Comparing forecasts from fixed and variable coefficient models: The case of money demand
  by Swamy, P. A. V. B. & Kennickell, Arthur B. & von zur Muehlen, Peter [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 479-484 A modification of time series forecasting methods for handling announced price increases
  by Carreno, Jose Juan & Madinaveitia, Jesus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 485-495 Time-series decomposition using the sinusoidal model
  by Simmons, L. F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 497-499 "In defense of ARIMA modeling", by D.J. Pack
  by Geurts, Michael D. & Kelly, J. Patrick [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 501-502 Comments on: "In defense of ARIMA modeling", by M.D. Geurts and J.P. Kelly
  by Pack, David J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 503-508 The use of prior information in forecast combination
  by Diebold, Francis X. & Pauly, Peter [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 509-519 A forecast evaluation of capital investment in agriculture
  by Conway, Roger K. & Hrubovcak, James & LeBlanc, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 521-530 Stochastic methods in population forecasting
  by Alho, Juha M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 531-540 Experience curve models in the electricity supply industry
  by Sharp, John A. & Price, David H. R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-7.