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Much Ado About Nothing? A Quantitative Analysis of Transatlantic Trade Liberalization

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  • Pflüger, Michael Paul
  • Krebs, Oliver

Abstract

This paper explores the quantitative consequences of transatlantic trade liberalization envisioned in a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the United States and the European Union. Our key innovation is to base our estimate on a new quantitative trade model with an associated recent technique which is far more parsimonious and has a far tighter connection between theory and data than previous approaches. We make use of the recently established detailed World Input Output Database (WIOD). This allows us to take input-output linkages pertaining among industries into account. We also explore the consequences of labor mobility across the countries of the European Union.

Suggested Citation

  • Pflüger, Michael Paul & Krebs, Oliver, 2015. "Much Ado About Nothing? A Quantitative Analysis of Transatlantic Trade Liberalization," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113025, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc15:113025
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    9. David H. Autor & David Dorn & Gordon H. Hanson, 2013. "The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(6), pages 2121-2168, October.
    10. Guy Michaels & Ferdinand Rauch & Stephen J. Redding, 2012. "Urbanization and Structural Transformation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 127(2), pages 535-586.
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    12. Costinot, Arnaud & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2014. "Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 197-261, Elsevier.
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    15. Gabriel Felbermayr & Mario Larch & Finn Krüger & Lisandra Flach & Erdal Yalcin & Sebastian Benz, 2013. "Dimensionen und Auswirkungen eines Freihandelsabkommens zwischen der EU und den USA," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 62, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Oliver Krebs, 2018. "RIOTs in Germany – Constructing an interregional input-output table for Germany," Working Papers 182, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    2. Aichele Rahel & Felbermayr Gabriel J. & Heiland Inga, 2016. "TTIP and Intra-European Trade: Boon or Bane?," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(6), pages 639-664, December.
    3. Walter, Timo, 2018. "Trade and welfare effects of a potential free trade agreement between Japan and the United States," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 16-2018, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
    4. Oliver Krebs, 2018. "Shocking Germany – A spatial analysis of German regional labor markets," Working Papers 183, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    5. Gabriel Felbermayr, 2016. "Economic Analysis of TTIP," ifo Working Paper Series 215, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    6. Berger, Marius & Boockmann, Bernhard & Felbermayr, Gabriel & Klempt, Charlotte & Koch, Andreas & Kohler, Wilhelm K. & Lerch, Christian & Neuhäusler, Peter & Rammer, Christian, 2017. "Strukturanalyse und Perspektiven des Wirtschaftsstandortes Baden-Württemberg im nationalen und internationalen Vergleich. Abschlussbericht," ZEW Expertises, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 172787.
    7. Timo Walter, 2022. "Trade and welfare effects of a potential free trade agreement between Japan and the United States," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(4), pages 1199-1230, November.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General

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