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What Drives Interstate Balancing? Estimations of Domestic and Systemic Factors

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  • Abb, Pascal

Abstract

This paper reviews contending realist assumptions about domestic and systemic impulses for balancing behavior, derives a set of corresponding hypotheses for state actions and submits them to a statistical large-n analysis for testing. A total of 18 highly conflict-prone dyads of states are observed over lengthy periods of time in order to gather data for a regression analysis of the effects of different impulses on both the external and internal balancing behavior of the weaker states. In accordance with the results, it is argued that domestic (or unit-level) factors are highly important in explaining the scope of balancing and often exert a stronger influence than do power gaps between states. As moderating factors, they are especially crucial in clarifying apparent cases of over- and underbalancing.

Suggested Citation

  • Abb, Pascal, 2013. "What Drives Interstate Balancing? Estimations of Domestic and Systemic Factors," GIGA Working Papers 238, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:gigawp:238
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Schenoni, Luis Leandro, 2015. "The Brazilian Rise and the Elusive South American Balance," GIGA Working Papers 269, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.

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