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Multivariate crash risk

Author

Listed:
  • Chabi-Yo, Fousseni
  • Huggenberger, Markus
  • Weigert, Florian

Abstract

This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk (MCRASH), defined as exposure to extreme realizations of multiple systematic factors, is priced in the cross-section of expected stock returns. We derive an extended linear model with a positive premium for MCRASH and we empirically confirm that stocks with high MCRASH earn significantly higher future returns than stocks with low MCRASH. The premium is not explained by linear factor exposures, alternative downside risk measures or stock characteristics. Extending market-based definitions of crash risk to other well-established factors helps to determine the cross-section of expected stock returns without further expanding the factor zoo.

Suggested Citation

  • Chabi-Yo, Fousseni & Huggenberger, Markus & Weigert, Florian, 2021. "Multivariate crash risk," CFR Working Papers 21-07, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:cfrwps:2107
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lesmeister, Simon & Limbach, Peter & Rau, P. Raghavendra & Sonnenburg, Florian, 2022. "Indexing and the performance-flow relation of actively managed mutual funds," CFR Working Papers 22-02, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    2. Ivanov, Ivan T. & Zimmermann, Tom & Heinrich, Nathan W., 2022. "Limits of disclosure regulation in the municipal bond market," CFR Working Papers 22-05, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    3. Wang, Chen & Xiong, Xiong & Shen, Dehua, 2022. "Tail risks, firm characteristics, and stock returns," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; Non-linear dependence; Crash aversion; Downside risk; Tail risk; Lower tail dependence; Copulas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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