The two-sided effect of financial globalization on output volatility
AbstractThis paper provides evidence for a significant relation between international financial markets' integration and output volatility. In the framework of a threshold model, it is shown empirically that this relation depends on country's financial risk. Financial risk indicates a country's ability to pay its official, commercial and trade debts. In countries with low financial risk, financial openness decreases output volatility, while, in countries with high financial risk, financial openness increases output volatility. Extensive robustness checks confirm this result. --
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre in its series Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies with number 2011,07.
Date of creation: 2011
Date of revision:
output volatility; financial openness; financial risk;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-05-30 (All new papers)
- NEP-MAC-2011-05-30 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-OPM-2011-05-30 (Open Economy Macroeconomic)
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