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Capital Flows, Maturity Mismatches and Profitability in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Bank Level Data

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Author Info
Uluc Aysun (University of Connecticut)

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Abstract

Despite the extensive work on currency mismatches, research on the significance of maturity mismatches in emerging market countries is scarce. In this paper, I show that emerging market banks' maturity mismatches increase during periods of high capital inflows, and that banks with high maturity mismatches are less profitable during crisis periods but more profitable otherwise. Hence, banks face a tradeoff between higher returns and risk. These results follow from a panel regression on a data set I constructed by merging bank level data with aggregate data. A simple Diamond-Dybvig (1983) partial equilibrium framework motivates the empirical analysis.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number 2006-29.

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Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2006
Date of revision: Oct 2007
Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2006-29

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Related research
Keywords: bank level data maturity mismatches liquidity profitability and debt structure ratios price volatility mergentonline.

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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  1. Hoyt Bleakley & Kevin Cowan, 2005. "Maturity mismatch and financial crises: evidence from emerging market corporations," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Barry Eichengreen & Ricardo Hausmann & Ugo Panizza, 2003. "Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance and Original Sin: Why They Are Not the Same and Why it Matters," NBER Working Papers 10036, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Roberto Chang & Andres Velasco, 1998. "Financial crises in emerging markets: a canonical model," Working Paper 98-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
  4. Graciela Kaminsky & Sergio Schmukler, 2003. "Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effects of Financial Liberalization," NBER Working Papers 9787, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Dani Rodrik & Andres Velasco, 1999. "Short-Term Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 7364, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Miguel A. Savastano, 2003. "Debt Intolerance," NBER Working Papers 9908, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. de la Torre, Augusto & Schmukler & Sergio L., 2004. "Coping with risk through mismatches : domestic and international financial contracts for emerging economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3212, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Diamond, Douglas W, 1991. "Debt Maturity Structure and Liquidity Risk," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 106(3), pages 709-37, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Chang, R. & Velasco, A., 1998. "Financial Crises in Emerging Markets: A Canonical Model," Working Papers 98-21, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Sartoris, William L., 1993. "The term structure of interest rates and the asset and liability decisions of a financial intermediary," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 129-142, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Jean Tirole, 2003. "Inefficient Foreign Borrowing: A Dual-and Common-Agency Perspective," Levine's Bibliography 506439000000000136, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Buch, Claudia M. & Lusinyan, Lusine, 2003. "Determinants of short-term debt: a note," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 157-170, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Bernanke, B. & Gertler, M. & Gilchrist, S., 1998. "The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework," Working Papers 98-03, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. SinkeyJr., Joseph F. & Carter, David A., 2000. "Evidence on the financial characteristics of banks that do and do not use derivatives," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 431-449. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Matthieu Bussière & Marcel Fratzscher & Winfried Koeniger, 2004. "Currency mismatch, uncertainty and debt maturity structure," Working Paper Series 409, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  17. Diamond, Douglas W & Dybvig, Philip H, 1983. "Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(3), pages 401-19, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  18. Galindo, Arturo & Panizza, Ugo & Schiantarelli, Fabio, 2003. "Debt composition and balance sheet effects of currency depreciation: a summary of the micro evidence," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 330-339, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Roberto Chang & Andres Velasco, 1998. "Financial Crises in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 6606, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. Graciela L. Kaminsky, 2003. "Varieties of Currency Crises," NBER Working Papers 10193, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Jeanne, Olivier, 2000. "Debt Maturity and the Global Financial Architecture," CEPR Discussion Papers 2520, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  23. repec:rus:hseeco:123922 is not listed on IDEAS
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