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The Binary Choice Approach of Laffer Curve

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  • Mihai Mutascu

    ()
    (Department of Finance, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, Romania)

Abstract

The paper analyzes empirically, based on “Laffer effects”, in Romania’s case, the relationship between tax revenues (dependent variable) and tax rates (independent variables). The analysis is based on the construction of a binary choice model (Linear Probit Model) and the data set is covering the period 1999 - 2009 (first trimester), with quarterly frequency. The main results show that the two “Laffer effects” have a different probability of existence. If the government knows which the maximum probabilities are for each of the two effects, then he can construct a coherent tax policy arrangement that raise or decrease the tax revenues, based on flat or progressive tax systems (the tax evasion is considered to be constant).

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File URL: http://www.feaa.uvt.ro/fisiere/working-papers/2012.FEAA.F.01.pdf
File Function: First version, April, 2012
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its series FEAA Working Papers with number 2012.FEAA.F.01.

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Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 10 Apr 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wun:wpaper:2012.feaa.f.01

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Related research

Keywords: Tax revenues; Tax rates; Laffer curve; Effects; Probability; Probit analysis;

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  1. Ira N. Gang & Amal Sanyal & Omkar Goswami, 1998. "Corruption, Tax Evasion and the Laffer Curve," Departmental Working Papers 199604, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
  2. Cerqueti, Roy & Coppier, Raffaella, 2009. "Tax revenues, fiscal corruption and "shame" costs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1239-1244, November.
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