We calculate an "enlarged" Phillips curve for a theoretical EMU with 12+8 Member States. Both the empirical evidence and the econometric analysis show the worsening of the trade-off between inflation and unemployment, and hence the need to revise, at least temporarily, the stance of the ECB monetary policy. Also, the estimates point to a modified responsiveness of the money-demand function to the changes of the interest rates, given, however, a greater stability of such a function in the long-run.
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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number
0409019.
Find related papers by JEL classification: E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
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