The main objective of this paper is to review and to replicate the paper 'Forward and Spot Exchange Rates' by Fama (1984). I used non-overlapping monthly data for three major currencies, and divided the sample into two, the 'replication' and the 'extension' periods. The results of this replication paper once more confirmed the conclusions of Fama (1984). After reviewing some post-Fama (1984) empirical studies in this topic, two main conclusions are drawn: (1) there is a general agreement that both components of forward rates vary through time; and (2) there is less agreement that the variance of the premium component is large relative to the variance of the expected depreciation of the spot rate.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F3 - International Economics - - International Finance F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
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