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The Investment Acceleration Principle Revisited by Means of a Neural Net

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Author Info
Guido Fioretti (University of Stuttgart and ICER)

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Abstract

The investment acceleration principle is a heuristic for modeling investment time series out of consumption time series. The model presented herein develops a disaggregated accelerator equation whose coefficients are the weights of a Kohonen neural net that represents firms' decision-making. According to this model, investments take place when managers recognize emerging technological patterns. Furthermore, a technique borrowed from the theory of self-organizing systems is used in order to disentangle innovation-driven investments from plant- replication investments.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Computational Economics with number 0207002.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: 18 Aug 2002
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpco:0207002

Note: Type of Document - PDF; pages: 20; figures: included. Author's homepage is at
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Accelerator; Investment; Self-Organization; Neural Nets;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Input-Output Models
D29 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Other
D89 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Other
E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation
O30 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - General
O49 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Other

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Bean, Charles R, 1981. "An Econometric Model of Manufacturing Investment in the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 91(361), pages 106-21, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Baxter, Marianne, 1996. "Are Consumer Durables Important for Business Cycles?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(1), pages 147-55, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lensink, R. & Sterken, Elmer, 1999. "Capital market imperfections, uncertainty and corporate investment in the Czech Republic," Research Report 99E51, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Velupillai, Kumaraswamy, 1999. "Non-maximum Disequilibrium Macrodynamics," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 113-26, June.
  5. Bigsten, A. & Collier, P. & Dercon, S. & Gauthier, B. & Gunning, J.W. & Isaksson, A. & Oduro, A. & Oostendorp, R. & Pattillo, C. & Soderbom, M. & Sylvain, M. & Teal, F. & Zeufack, A., 1997. "Investment in Africa's Manufacturing Sector: a Four Country Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers Series 97-11, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
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  6. Hall, B. & Mairesse, J. & Mulkay, B., 1998. "Firm-Level Investment in France and the United States: An Exploration of What We Have Learned in Twenty Years," Economics Papers 143, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
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  7. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1975. "An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 83(6), pages 1113-44, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Guido Fioretti, 2002. "Recognizing Investment Opportunities at the Onset of Recoveries," Macroeconomics 0207008, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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