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General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution

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Paul A. David
Gavin Wright

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Abstract

Presented to the International Symposium on ECONOMIC CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE, Oxford, England, 2nd-4th July, 1999 Celebrating the Scholarly Career of Charles H. Feinstein, FBA.

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Paper provided by Stanford University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 99026.

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Handle: RePEc:wop:stanec:99026

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  1. Claudia Goldin & Lawrence F. Katz, 1998. "The Origins Of Technology-Skill Complementarity," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 113(3), pages 693-732, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Bresnahan, Timothy F. & Trajtenberg, M., 1995. "General purpose technologies 'Engines of growth'?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 83-108, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Harberger, Arnold C, 1998. "A Vision of the Growth Process," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(1), pages 1-32, March.
  4. Hans-Joachim Voth, 1997. "Time and Work in Eighteenth-Century London," Oxford University Economic and Social History Series _021, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  5. David M. Engstrom, 1997. "The Economic Determinants of Ethnic Segregation in Post-War Britain," Oxford University Economic and Social History Series _012, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  6. Dan H. Andersen & Hans-Joachim Voth, 1997. "Neutrality and Mediterranean Shipping Under Danish Flag, 1750-1807," Oxford University Economic and Social History Series _018, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  7. Paul A. David, 1997. "Path Dependence and the Quest for Historical Economics: One More chorus of Ballad of QWERTY," Oxford University Economic and Social History Series _020, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan, 2003. "The Case of the Missing Productivty Growth: Or, Does Information Technology Explain why Productivity Accelerated in the US but not the UK?," NBER Working Papers 10010, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Sandro Mendonça, 2005. "The Revolution Within: ICT and the Shifting Knowledge Base of the World’s Largest Companies," LEM Papers Series 2005/19, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Klaus Desmet & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2007. "Spatial Growth and Industry Age," NBER Working Papers 13302, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan, 2003. "The case of the missing productivity growth: or, does information technology explain why productivity accelerated in the United States but not the United Kingdom?," Working Paper Series WP-03-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Les T. Oxley & Kenneth I. Carlaw, 2004. "ICT Diffusion and Economic Growth in New Zealand," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 167, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  6. Ristuccia , C.A. & Solomou, S., 2002. "Electricity Diffusion and Trend Acceleration in Inter-War Manufacturing Productivity," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0202, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
  7. Evangelia Vourvachaki, 2006. "Information and Communication Technologies in a Multi-Sector Endogenous Growth Model," CEP Discussion Papers dp0750, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE. [Downloadable!]
  8. Pol Antràs & Hans Joachim Voth, 2000. "Productivity Growth during the English Industrial Revolution: A Dual Approach," Economics Working Papers 495, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  9. Leandro Prados de la Escosura & Joan R. Roses, 2008. "Long-run Estimates of Physical Capital in Spain, 1850-2000," Working Papers in Economic History wp08-07, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Historia Económica e Instituciones. [Downloadable!]
  10. Rodolfo E. Manuelli, 2000. "Technological Change, the Labor Market and the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 8022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Michael D. Bordo & David C. Wheelock, 2004. "Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: A Look Back at Past U.S. Stock Market Booms," NBER Working Papers 10704, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  12. Janet L. Yellen, 2005. "Productivity and inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Feb 18. [Downloadable!]
  13. Evangelia Vourvachaki, 2005. "Information and Communication Technologies in a Multi-Sector Endogenous Growth Model," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 10, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  14. John Fernald & Shanthi Ramnath, 2004. "The acceleration in U.S. total productivity after 1995: the role of information technology," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q I, pages 52-67. [Downloadable!]
  15. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006. "Modeling the transition to a new economy: lessons from two technological revolutions," Staff Report 296, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  16. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2001. "The transition to a new economy after the Second Industrial Revolution," Working Papers 606, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  17. Sandro Sapio & Grid Thoma, 2006. "The Growth of Industrial Sectors: Theoretical Insights and Empirical Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing," LEM Papers Series 2006/09, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]
  18. Paul A. David, 2005. "Understanding Digital Technology’s Evolution and the Path of Measured Productivity Growth: Present and Future in the Mirror of the Past," Macroeconomics 0502022, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  19. Consoli Davide & Quatraro Francesco & Patrucco Pier Paolo, 2006. "Un'analisi comparata delle performance technologiche nel nord-ovest sabaudo nel lungo periodo nel contesto delle regioni italiane: gli anni 1980-2001," Dipartimento di Economia "S. Cognetti de Martiis" LEI & BRICK - Laboratorio di economia dell'innovazione "Franco Momigliano", Bureau of Research in Innovation, Complexity and Knowledge, Collegio Carlo 200605, University of Turin. [Downloadable!]
  20. Paul A. David, 2005. "Productivity growth prospects and the new economy in historical perspective," Economic History 0502005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  21. Janet L. Yellen, 2005. "The U.S. economic outlook," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Feb 11. [Downloadable!]
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