Uniform and distribution-free inference with general autoregressive processes
Author
Abstract
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Tassos Magdalinos & Katerina Petrova, 2022. "Uniform and Distribution-Free Inference with General Autoregressive Processes," Working Papers 1344, Barcelona School of Economics.
References listed on IDEAS
- Bruce E. Hansen, 1999.
"The Grid Bootstrap And The Autoregressive Model,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 594-607, November.
- Hansen,B.E., 1998. "The grid bootstrap and the autoregressive model," Working papers 26, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021.
"Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021. "Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023.
"Extensions to IVX methods of inference for return predictability,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2021. "Extensions to IVX methods of inference for return predictability," Working Papers w202104, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2022. "Extensions to IVX Methods of Inference for Return Predictability," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29779, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Alexandros Kostakis & Tassos Magdalinos & Michalis P. Stamatogiannis, 2015. "Robust Econometric Inference for Stock Return Predictability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(5), pages 1506-1553.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Unified Inference for Dynamic Quantile Predictive Regression," Papers 2309.14160, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Quantile Time Series Regression Models Revisited," Papers 2308.06617, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Estimating Conditional Value-at-Risk with Nonstationary Quantile Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2311.08218, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Structural Break Detection in Quantile Predictive Regression Models with Persistent Covariates," Papers 2302.05193, arXiv.org.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023.
"Transformed regression-based long-horizon predictability tests,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2022. "Transformed Regression-based Long-Horizon Predictability Tests," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 30620, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Phillips, Peter C.B., 2023.
"Estimation And Inference With Near Unit Roots,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(2), pages 221-263, April.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 2021. "Estimation and Inference with Near Unit Roots," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2304, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Xiaosai Liao & Xinjue Li & Qingliang Fan, 2024. "Robust Inference for Multiple Predictive Regressions with an Application on Bond Risk Premia," Papers 2401.01064, arXiv.org.
- Erik Hjalmarsson & Tamas Kiss, 2022. "Long‐run predictability tests are even worse than you thought," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1334-1355, November.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Bootstrapping Nonstationary Autoregressive Processes with Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2307.14463, arXiv.org.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Estimation and Inference in Threshold Predictive Regression Models with Locally Explosive Regressors," Papers 2305.00860, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Goncalves, Silvia & Kilian, Lutz, 2004.
"Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 89-120, November.
- Gonçalves, Sílvia & Kilian, Lutz, 2002. "Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Working Paper Series 196, European Central Bank.
- Kilian, Lutz & Gonçalves, Sílvia, 2002. "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2002,26, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Silvia Gonçalves & Lutz Kilian, 2003. "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-17, CIRANO.
- GONÇALVES, Silvia & KILIAN, Lutz, 2003. "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Cahiers de recherche 2003-01, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Gonçalves, Sílvia & KILIAN, Lutz, 2003. "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Cahiers de recherche 01-2003, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Carlos Medel, 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy,"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zongwu Cai & Haiqiang Chen & Xiaosai Liao, 2020. "A New Robust Inference for Predictive Quantile Regression," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202002, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
- Boucher, Christophe & Maillet, Bertrand & Michel, Thierry, 2008.
"Do misalignments predict aggregated stock-market volatility?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 317-320, August.
- Christophe Boucher & Bertrand Maillet & Thierry Michel, 2008. "Do misalignments predict aggregated stock-market volatility?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00307783, HAL.
- Candian, Giacomo, 2019.
"Information frictions and real exchange rate dynamics,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 189-205.
- Giacomo Candian, 2016. "Information Frictions and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," EcoMod2016 9106, EcoMod.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2022.
"The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 3975-4004, June.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2021.
"Consistent inference for predictive regressions in persistent economic systems,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 215-244.
- Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2021. "Consistent Inference for Predictive Regressions in Persistent Economic Systems," NBER Working Papers 28568, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Benati, Luca, 2015.
"The long-run Phillips curve: A structural VAR investigation,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 15-28.
- Luca Benati, 2015. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve: A Structural VAR Investigation," 2015 Meeting Papers 929, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Atanasov, Victoria, 2021. "Unemployment and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
- Benati, Luca & Lucas, Robert E. & Nicolini, Juan Pablo & Weber, Warren, 2021.
"International evidence on long-run money demand,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 43-63.
- Luca Benati & Robert Lucas, Jr. & Juan Nicolini & Warren Weber, 2016. "International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand," Working Papers id:11152, eSocialSciences.
- Luca Benati & Robert E. Lucas Jr. & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Warren Weber, 2020. "International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand," Diskussionsschriften dp2021, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
- Luca Benati & Robert E. Lucas & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Warren E. Weber, 2019. "International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand," Staff Report 587, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Warren E. Weber & Robert Lucas & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Luca Benati, 2017. "International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand," 2017 Meeting Papers 1154, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Luca Benati & Robert E. Lucas & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Warren E. Weber, 2017. "International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand," Working Papers 737, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Luca Benati & Robert E. Lucas, Jr. & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Warren Weber, 2016. "International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand," NBER Working Papers 22475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jonathan H. Wright, 2000. "Exact confidence intervals for impulse responses in a Gaussian vector autoregression," International Finance Discussion Papers 682, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gergely Ganics & Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2021.
"Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections-IV Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 307-324, January.
- Gergely Ganics & Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2018. "Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections — IV models," Working Papers 1841, Banco de España.
- Gergely Ganics & Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2018. "Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections–IV models," Economics Working Papers 1640, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Gergely Ganics & Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2018. "Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections–IV Models," Working Papers 1077, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Kang, Natasha & Marmer, Vadim, 2020.
"Modeling Long Cycles,"
Economics working papers
vadim_marmer-2020-3, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 26 Oct 2020.
- Natasha Kang & Vadim Marmer, 2020. "Modeling Long Cycles," Papers 2010.13877, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
More about this item
Keywords
uniform inference; central limit theory; autoregression; predictive regression; instrumentation; mixed-Gaussianity; t-statistic; confidence intervals;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ECM-2022-05-30 (Econometrics)
- NEP-ETS-2022-05-30 (Econometric Time Series)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:1837. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econ.upf.edu/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.