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Estimating poverty transitions in Mozambique using synthetic panels: A validation exercise and an application to cross-sectional survey data

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  • Vincenzo Salvucci
  • Finn Tarp

Abstract

In this paper we first validate the use of the synthetic panels technique in the context of the 2014/15 intra-year panel survey data for Mozambique, and then apply the same technique to the 1996/97, 2002/03, 2008/09, and 2014/15 cross-sectional household budget surveys for the same country. We find that in most analyses poverty rates and poverty transitions estimated using synthetic panels provide results that are close to the true values obtained using the 2014/15 panel data.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincenzo Salvucci & Finn Tarp, 2021. "Estimating poverty transitions in Mozambique using synthetic panels: A validation exercise and an application to cross-sectional survey data," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-26, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2021-26
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alesina, Alberto & Perotti, Roberto, 1996. "Income distribution, political instability, and investment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1203-1228, June.
    2. Stefan Dercon & Pramila Krishnan, 2000. "Vulnerability, seasonality and poverty in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6), pages 25-53.
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    1. Vincenzo Salvucci & Finn Tarp, 2021. "Poverty and vulnerability in Mozambique: An analysis of dynamics and correlates in light of the Covid‐19 crisis using synthetic panels," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 1895-1918, November.

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    Keywords

    Poverty Dynamics; poverty transitions; Mozambique; Synthetic panel; Poverty analysis; Poverty;
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