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Distribution-free Tests of Fractional Cointegration

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Author Info
Javier Hualde () (Universidad de Navarra)
Carlos Velasco () (Universidad Carlos III)

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Abstract

We propose tests of the null of spurious relationship against the alternative of fractional cointegration among the components of a vector of fractionally integrated time series. Our test statistics have an asymptotic chi-square distribution under the null and rely on GLS-type of corrections which control for the short run correlation of the weak dependent components of the fractionally integrated processes. We emphasize corrections based on nonparametric modelization of the innovations' autocorrelation, relaxing important conditions which are standard in the literature, and, in particular, being able to consider simultaneously (asymptotically) stationary or nonstationary processes. Relatively weak conditions on the corresponding short run and memory parameter estimates are assumed. The new tests are consistent with a divergence rate that, in most of the cases, as we show in a simple situation, depends on the cointegration degree. Finite-sample properties of the tests are analysed by means of a Monte Carlo experiment.

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Paper provided by School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra in its series Faculty Working Papers with number 08/06.

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Length: 35 pages
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Publication status: Forthcoming, Econometric Theory
Handle: RePEc:una:unccee:wp0806

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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  1. Katarzyna Lasak, 2008. "Likelihood based testing for no fractional cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2008-52, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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