IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/tky/fseres/2014cf929.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Estimation and Prediction Intervals in Transformed Linear Mixed Models

Author

Listed:
  • Shonosuke Sugasawa

    (Graduate School of Economics, The University of Tokyo)

  • Tatsuya Kubokawa

    (Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo)

Abstract

　　 For analyzing positive or bounded data, this paper suggests parametrically transformed nested error regression models (TNERM), which not only include the log-transformed model, but also adjust flexibly the transformation parameter to fit the data to a normal linear regression. Conditions on the transformation are derived for consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for the transformation parameter. The conditions are satisfied by the dual power transformation for positive data and the dual power logistic transformation for bounded data. In order to calibrate uncertainty of the transformed empirical best linear unbiased predictor (TEBLUP), the paper derives prediction intervals with second-order accuracy based on the parametric bootstrap method. Conditional prediction intervals given data in the area of interest are also constructed. The proposed methods are investigated through simulation and empirical studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Shonosuke Sugasawa & Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2014. "Estimation and Prediction Intervals in Transformed Linear Mixed Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-929, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    • Handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2014cf929
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2014/2014cf929.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gauri Sankar Datta & J. N. K. Rao & David Daniel Smith, 2005. "On measuring the variability of small area estimators under a basic area level model," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 92(1), pages 183-196, March.
    2. Shonosuke Sugasawa & Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2013. " Parametric Transformed Fay-Herriot Model for Small Area Estimation ," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-911, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    3. Yang, Zhenlin, 2006. "A modified family of power transformations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 14-19, July.
    4. Basu, Ruma & Ghosh, J. K. & Mukerjee, Rahul, 2003. "Empirical Bayes prediction intervals in a normal regression model: higher order asymptotics," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 197-203, June.
    5. Gauri Datta & Tatsuya Kubokawa & Isabel Molina & J. Rao, 2011. "Estimation of mean squared error of model-based small area estimators," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 20(2), pages 367-388, August.
    6. Peter Hall & Tapabrata Maiti, 2006. "On parametric bootstrap methods for small area prediction," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 68(2), pages 221-238, April.
    7. Eric V. Slud & Tapabrata Maiti, 2006. "Mean‐squared error estimation in transformed Fay–Herriot models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 68(2), pages 239-257, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2010. "On Measuring Uncertainty of Small Area Estimators with Higher Order Accuracy," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-754, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    2. Tatsuya Kubokawa & Bui Nagashima, 2011. "Parametric Bootstrap Methods for Bias Correction in Linear Mixed Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-801, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    3. Kubokawa, Tatsuya & Nagashima, Bui, 2012. "Parametric bootstrap methods for bias correction in linear mixed models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-16.
    4. Sugasawa, Shonosuke & Kubokawa, Tatsuya, 2015. "Parametric transformed Fay–Herriot model for small area estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 295-311.
    5. Sugasawa, Shonosuke & Kubokawa, Tatsuya, 2017. "Transforming response values in small area prediction," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 47-60.
    6. Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2009. "Corrected Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals in Nested Error Regression Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-632, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    7. Shonosuke Sugasawa & Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2013. " Parametric Transformed Fay-Herriot Model for Small Area Estimation ," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-911, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    8. Katarzyna Reluga & María‐José Lombardía & Stefan Sperlich, 2023. "Simultaneous inference for linear mixed model parameters with an application to small area estimation," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 91(2), pages 193-217, August.
    9. Sugasawa, Shonosuke & Kubokawa, Tatsuya, 2016. "On conditional prediction errors in mixed models with application to small area estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 18-33.
    10. Shonosuke Sugasawa & Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2014. "On Conditional Mean Squared Errors of Empirical Bayes Estimators in Mixed Models with Application to Small Area Estimation," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-934, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    11. Shonosuke Sugasawa & Tatsuya Kubokawa & J. N. K. Rao, 2018. "Small area estimation via unmatched sampling and linking models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(2), pages 407-427, June.
    12. Tatsuya Kubokawa, 2009. "A Review of Linear Mixed Models and Small Area Estimation," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-702, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    13. Malay Ghosh & Tatsuya Kubokawa & Yuki Kawakubo, 2014. "Benchmarked Empirical Bayes Methods in Multiplicative Area-level Models with Risk Evaluation," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-918, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    14. repec:csb:stintr:v:17:y:2016:i:1:p:9-24 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Erciulescu Andreea L. & Fuller Wayne A., 2016. "Small Area Prediction Under Alternative Model Specifications," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 17(1), pages 9-24, March.
    16. Jiming Jiang & P. Lahiri, 2006. "Mixed model prediction and small area estimation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 15(1), pages 1-96, June.
    17. Torabi, Mahmoud & Rao, J.N.K., 2014. "On small area estimation under a sub-area level model," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 36-55.
    18. Malay Ghosh, 2020. "Small area estimation: its evolution in five decades," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 21(4), pages 1-22, August.
    19. Shonosuke Sugasawa & Tatsuya Kubokawa & Kota Ogasawara, 2017. "Empirical Uncertain Bayes Methods in Area-level Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 44(3), pages 684-706, September.
    20. Li, Huilin & Lahiri, P., 2010. "An adjusted maximum likelihood method for solving small area estimation problems," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(4), pages 882-892, April.
    21. Sugasawa, Shonosuke & Kawakubo, Yuki & Datta, Gauri Sankar, 2019. "Observed best selective prediction in small area estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 383-392.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2014cf929. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CIRJE administrative office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ritokjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.