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Autonomous Algorithmic Collusion: Q-Learning Under Sequantial Pricing

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  • Timo Klein

    (University of Amsterdam)

Abstract

Prices are increasingly set by algorithms. One concern is that intelligent algorithms may learn to collude on higher prices even in absence of the kind of communication or agreement necessary to establish an antitrust infringement. However, exactly how this may happen is an open question. I show in a simulated environment of sequential competition that competing reinforcement learning algorithms can indeed learn to converge to collusive equilibria. When the set of discrete prices increases, the algorithm considered increasingly con- verges to supra-competitive asymmetric cycles. I show that results are robust to various extensions and discuss practical limitations and policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Klein, 2018. "Autonomous Algorithmic Collusion: Q-Learning Under Sequantial Pricing," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-056/VII, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Nov 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180056
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    File URL: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/18056.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Andrew Eckert, 2013. "Empirical Studies Of Gasoline Retailing: A Guide To The Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 140-166, February.
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    5. Segismundo S. Izquierdo & Luis R. Izquierdo, 2015. "The “Win-Continue, Lose-Reverse” Rule In Oligopolies: Robustness Of Collusive Outcomes," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(05n06), pages 1-23, August.
    6. Waltman, Ludo & Kaymak, Uzay, 2008. "Q-learning agents in a Cournot oligopoly model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3275-3293, October.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Martin, Ian W.R. & Nagel, Stefan, 2022. "Market efficiency in the age of big data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 154-177.
    2. Alexis Bogroff & Dominique Guégan, 2019. "Artificial Intelligence, Data, Ethics. An Holistic Approach for Risks and Regulation," Working Papers 2019: 19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    3. Da Silva, Filipe & Núñez Reyes, Georgina, 2021. "Free competition in the post-pandemic digital era: The impact on SMEs," Documentos de Proyectos 46661, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    4. Alexis Bogroff & Dominique Guegan, 2019. "Artificial Intelligence, Data, Ethics: An Holistic Approach for Risks and Regulation," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02181597, HAL.
    5. Alexis Bogroff & Dominique Guegan, 2019. "Artificial Intelligence, Data, Ethics: An Holistic Approach for Risks and Regulation," Post-Print halshs-02181597, HAL.
    6. Yiquan Gu & Leonardo Madio & Carlo Reggiani, 2019. "Exclusive Data, Price Manipulation and Market Leadership," CESifo Working Paper Series 7853, CESifo.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Algorithmic Collusion; Pricing Algorithms; Machine Learning; Reinforcement Learning; Q-Learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L41 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - Monopolization; Horizontal Anticompetitive Practices
    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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