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A novel statistical approach to marketing campaigns

Author

Listed:
  • Yuzhi Cai

    (School of Management, Swansea University)

Abstract

We propose a novel heterogeneous choice model to deal with heterogeneity issues in decision making across individuals for marketing campaigns. Based on the proposed model, we further develop a novel classification method that enables us to identify an optimal group of individuals in a database for, e.g. future bank marketing campaigns. Our results show that, in the presence of heterogeneity, our model outperforms some commonly used benchmark models with respect to model specification errors, and our classification method outperforms the conventional method in respect of the positive response rate in marketing campaigns.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuzhi Cai, 2018. "A novel statistical approach to marketing campaigns," Working Papers 2018-21, Swansea University, School of Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:swn:wpaper:2018-21
    as

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    File URL: https://rahwebdav.swan.ac.uk/repec/pdf/WP2018-21.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2018
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Manski, Charles F., 1975. "Maximum score estimation of the stochastic utility model of choice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 205-228, August.
    5. Manski, Charles F., 1985. "Semiparametric analysis of discrete response : Asymptotic properties of the maximum score estimator," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 313-333, March.
    6. Dries F. Benoit & Dirk Van den Poel, 2012. "Binary quantile regression: a Bayesian approach based on the asymmetric Laplace distribution," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 1174-1188, November.
    7. Horowitz, Joel L, 1992. "A Smoothed Maximum Score Estimator for the Binary Response Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(3), pages 505-531, May.
    8. Fournier, B. & Rupin, N. & Bigerelle, M. & Najjar, D. & Iost, A. & Wilcox, R., 2007. "Estimating the parameters of a generalized lambda distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 2813-2835, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Binary; classification; heterogeneity; marketing campaign; quantile function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General

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