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Inflation, stabilisation et prix relatifs en Argentine et au Brésil: L'expérience des années quatre-vingt-dix

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  • Jérôme Sgard

    (Centre de recherches internationales)

Abstract

On analyse les programmes de stabilisation qui ont mis un terme à plus de vingt ans de haute inflation en Argentine (1991), puis au Brésil (1994). Plutôt qu'une désindexation de l'économie, ils ont visé la stabilisation par une stratégie d'indexation totale. Celle-ci a pris la forme en Argentine d'un régime bimonétaire rigide de Currency Board, imposant des ajustements microéconomiques profonds. Au Brésil, le Plan Real a reconstruit une monnaie entière, en stabilisant d'abord la fonction d'unité de compte puis en échangeant le numéraire. Toutefois, au-delà de dispositifs institutionnels opposés, la puissance des mécanismes d'indexation, comme la faible remonétisation, rend a priori délicate dans les deux pays tout politique de change active. Ceci devrait être une des séquelles les plus durables de la haute inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Sgard, 1998. "Inflation, stabilisation et prix relatifs en Argentine et au Brésil: L'expérience des années quatre-vingt-dix," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/6982, Sciences Po.
    • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6982
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Argentine; Brésil; Désindexation de l'économique; Stabilisation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • P52 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies

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