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Wake me up before you GO-GARCH

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  • Roy van der Weide

Abstract

"The `holy grail' in multivariate GARCH modelling is without any doubt a parameterization of the covariance matrix that is feasible in terms of estimation at a minimum loss of generality" (van der Weide, 2002). Recent models that aspire such favourable position in this trade-off are the DCC model by Engle (2002) and the GO-GARCH model by van der Weide (2002). These models have gained generality on the earliest models designed to be feasible, CCC and O-GARCH, without losing too much of their practical attractiveness. Generality may be measured by the ability to model the key stylized facts of multivariate data:(i) Persistence in volatility and covariation; (ii) Time-varying correlation; and (iii) Spill-over effects in volatility. The DCC model incorporates the first two items, but trades the third for particular ease of estimation. On the other hand, GO-GARCH which is nested in the general BEKK model meets all three key aspects of empirical data, while it may seem to give in a little on DCC in terms of practicability. This paper proposes an alternative method of estimating GO-GARCH that will substantially increase feasibility while preserving generality. In effect, the approach does not become more complicated than estimating a Vector Autoregressive Model along the way. As the procedure may easily be implemented in any popular software package, such as EViews, it should meet the convenience of DCC

Suggested Citation

  • Roy van der Weide, 2004. "Wake me up before you GO-GARCH," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 316, Society for Computational Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf4:316
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Weide, R. van der, 2002. "Generalized Orthogonal GARCH. A Multivariate GARCH model," CeNDEF Working Papers 02-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
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    4. Hafner, Christian M. & Linton, Oliver, 2010. "Efficient estimation of a multivariate multiplicative volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 55-73, November.
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    6. Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006. "Dynamic Factor GARCH: Multivariate Volatility Forecast for a Large Number of Series," LEM Papers Series 2006/25, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    7. Xin Zhang & Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2011. "Modeling Dynamic Volatilities and Correlations under Skewness and Fat Tails," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-078/2/DSF22, Tinbergen Institute.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    multivariate GARCH; BEKK; DCC; GO-GARCH; Three Step Estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General

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