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Does External Debt Affect Economic Growth: Evidence from Developing Countries

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  • Safia Shabbir

    (State Bank of Pakistan)

Abstract

This paper explores long run relationship between external debt and economic growth in developing economies. By using a sample of 70 developing countries over a period of 1976-2011, the study finds that increase in external debt stock reduces the fiscal space to service external debt liabilities and thus dampens the economic growth. Moreover, it reduces the level of private fixed capital formation in the country. Exploring the role of investment towards economic growth, we find that both the foreign direct investment and the fixed capital formation help these economies to grow, while openness contributes to the welfare of the developing economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Safia Shabbir, 2013. "Does External Debt Affect Economic Growth: Evidence from Developing Countries," SBP Working Paper Series 63, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:sbp:wpaper:63
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    File URL: http://www.sbp.org.pk/repec/sbp/wpaper/wp63.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Delano S Villanueva & Roberto S Mariano & Diwa C Guinigundo & Abbas Mirakhor, 2023. "External Debt, Adjustment, and Growth," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Adjustment and Growth Theory and Practice, chapter 9, pages 222-249, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    4. Andrew M. Warner, 1992. "Did the Debt Crisis Cause the Investment Crisis?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(4), pages 1161-1186.
    5. Everhart, S.S. & Sumlinski, M.A., 2001. "Trends in Private Investment in Developing countries, Statistics for 1970-200 and the Impact on Private Investment of Corruption and the Quality of Public Investment," Papers 44, World Bank - International Finance Corporation.
    6. Adepoju, Adenike Adebusola & Salau, Adekunle Sheu & Obayelu, Abiodun Elijah, 2007. "The Effects of External Debt Management on Sustainable Economic Growth and Development: Lessons from Nigeria," MPRA Paper 2147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Claudio M. LOSER, 2004. "External Debt Sustainability: Guidelines For Low- And Middle-Income Countries," G-24 Discussion Papers 26, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    8. Schclarek, Alfredo, 2004. "Debt and Economic Growth in Developing and Industrial Countries," Working Papers 2005:34, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jianu, Ionuț & Pîrșcoveanu, Laura-Mădălina & Tudorache, Maria-Daniela, 2017. "The impact of financial risks on economic growth in EU-15," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 0(1 (610)), pages 23-44.
    2. Tuncer GÖVDELİ, 2019. "External Debt and Economic Growth in Turkey: An Empirical Analysis," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society.
    3. Sonia Afrin Ale & Md Shafiqul Islam & Hazera-Tun Nessa, 2023. "Does External Debt Affect Economic Growth: Evidence from South Asian Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 83-88, January.
    4. Minhaj ud-Din & Muhammad Azam Khan & Muhammad Tariq, 2020. "External Debt - Blessing or Curse: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 235-246.
    5. Saida Daly & Nihel Benali & Manal Yagoub, 2022. "Financing Sustainable Development, Which Factors Can Interfere?: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
    6. Jorge Carrera & Pablo de la Vega, 2022. "The Effect of External Debt on Greenhouse Gas Emissions," Papers 2206.01840, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    7. Manamba EPAPHRA & William MESIET, 2021. "The external debt burden and economic growth in Africa: a panel data analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(627), S), pages 175-206, Summer.
    8. Isaev, Mirolim & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "The nexus of private sector foreign debt, unemployment, trade openness: evidence from Australia," MPRA Paper 79423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Wanniarachchi, Sasindu Lakruwan, 2020. "The Nexus among External Debt and Economic Growth: Evidence from South Asia," OSF Preprints ghfdb, Center for Open Science.
    10. Brian Tavonga Mazorodze, 2020. "Re-visiting the External Debt-Economic Growth Question in Zimbabwe," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 12(2), pages 1-8.
    11. Muhammad Azam & Yi Feng, 2017. "Does military expenditure increase external debt? Evidence from Asia," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 550-567, September.
    12. Ionuţ JIANU & Laura-Mădălina PÎRȘCOVEANU & Maria-Daniela TUDORACHE, 2017. "The impact of financial risks on economic growth in EU-15," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 23-44, Spring.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    External debt; Growth; Economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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