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Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program

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  • Rodrigo Pinto

    (University of Chicago)

  • Azeem Shaikh

    (University of Chicago)

  • Adam Yavitz

    (University of Chicago)

  • James Heckman

    (University of Chicago)

Abstract

This paper considers the problem of inference about the effect of a program on multiple outcomes when assignment of treatment status is imperfectly randomized. Here, by imperfect randomization we mean that treatment status may have been reassigned after the initial randomization on the basis of observed or unobserved characteristics. We develop our methodology in the context of the High/Scope Perry Preschool program. We find significant effects of the program on a number of different outcomes of interest, including outcomes related to criminal activity for males, even after accounting for the imperfectness of the randomization and the multiplicity of hypotheses. On the other hand, effects of the program on other outcomes of interest, including outcomes related to criminal behavior for females, are no longer significant after more careful scrutiny.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2010 Meeting Papers with number 1336.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed010:1336

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Cited by:
  1. Daniela Del Boca & Christopher Flinn & Matthew Wiswall, 2014. "Transfers to Households with Children and Child Development," CHILD Working Papers Series 25, Centre for Household, Income, Labour and Demographic Economics (CHILD) - CCA.
  2. Asoni, Andrea, 2011. "Intelligence, Self-confidence and Entrepreneurship," Working Paper Series 887, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
  3. Aviva Aron-Dine & Liran Einav & Amy Finkelstein, 2012. "The RAND Health Insurance Experiment, Three Decades Later," Discussion Papers 12-007, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
  4. Aviva Aron-Dine & Liran Einav & Amy Finkelstein, 2012. "The RAND Health Insurance Experiment, Three Decades Later," NBER Working Papers 18642, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. repec:crs:wpaper:2013-10 is not listed on IDEAS

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