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The land use changes of European biodiesel: sensitivity to crop yield evolutions

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  • Alexandre Gohin
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    Abstract

    The European public policy in favor of the biodiesel consumption is highly debated. Available estimates of the induced land use changes conclude that this policy is inefficient to reduce emissions of GreenHouse Gas. We show that the crop yield evolutions in these estimates are significantly lower than the observed and expected evolutions. This difference is directly related to biased calibration choice of behavioral parameters. We show using the GTAP-BIO framework that a consistent calibration of these parameters leads to a strong reduction (by around 80% in the long run) of the land use changes and induced emissions.

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    File URL: http://www6.rennes.inra.fr/smart/Media/Working-papers/WP13-13
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by INRA UMR SMART in its series Working Papers SMART - LERECO with number 13-13.

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    Length: 38 pages
    Date of creation: 2013
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:rae:wpaper:201313

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    Keywords: Biofuel; Europe; land use changes;

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    1. David Laborde & Hugo Valin, 2012. "MODELING LAND-USE CHANGES IN A GLOBAL CGE: ASSESSING THE EU BIOFUEL MANDATES WITH THE MIRAGE-BioF MODEL," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1250017-1-1.
    2. Alison Burrell & Maria Blanco & Stephan Hubertus Gay & Martin Henseler & Aikaterini Kavallari & Robert M'barek & Ignacio Perez & Axel Tonini, 2010. "Impacts of the EU Biofuel Target on Agricultural Markets and Land Use - A Comparative Modelling Assessment," JRC-IPTS Working Papers JRC58484, Institute for Prospective and Technological Studies, Joint Research Centre.
    3. Jerome Dumortier & Dermot J. Hayes & Miguel Carriquiry & Fengxia Dong & Xiaodong Du & Amani Elobeid & Jacinto F. Fabiosa & Simla Tokgoz, 2009. "Sensitivity of Carbon Emission Estimates from Indirect Land-Use Change," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications 09-wp493, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University.
    4. Bruce A. Babcock & Miguel Carriquiry, 2010. "Exploration of Certain Aspects of CARB's Approach to Modeling Indirect Land Use from Expanded Biodiesel Production, An," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications 10-sr105, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University.
    5. Alla A. Golub & Thomas W. Hertel, 2012. "Modeling Land-Use Change Impacts Of Biofuels In The Gtap-Bio Framework," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1250015-1-1.
    6. Alain Carpentier & Elodie Letort, 2012. "Accounting for Heterogeneity in Multicrop Micro-Econometric Models: Implications for Variable Input Demand Modeling," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(1), pages 209-224.
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