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Interâ€market Arbitrage in Sports Betting

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Author Info
Egon Franck () (University of Zurich)
Erwin Verbeek () (University of Zurich)
Stephan Nuesch () (University of Zurich)

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Abstract

Unlike the existing literature on sports betting, which concentrates on arbitrage within a single market, this paper examines inter-market arbitrage by searching for arbitrage opportunities through combining bets at the bookmaker and the exchange market. Using the posted odds of eight different bookmakers and the corresponding odds traded at a well-known bet exchange for 5,478 football matches played in the top-five European leagues during three seasons, we find (only) ten intra-market arbitrage opportunities. However, we find 1,450 cases in which a combined bet at the bookmaker as well as at the exchange yields a guaranteed positive return. Further analyses reveal that inter-market arbitrage emerges from different levels of informational efficiency between the two markets.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by National Centre for Econometric Research in its series NCER Working Paper Series with number 48.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 27 Oct 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:qut:auncer:2009_61

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Related research
Keywords: sports betting; inter-market arbitrage;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Hausch, Donald B & Ziemba, William T, 1990. "Arbitrage Strategies for Cross-Track Betting on Major Horse Races," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(1), pages 61-78, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. David Edelman & Nigel O'Brian, 2004. "Tote arbitrage and lock opportunities in racetrack betting," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 370-378, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Forrest, David & Goddard, John & Simmons, Robert, 2005. "Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 551-564. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Dixon, Mark J. & Pope, Peter F., 2004. "The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 697-711. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1997. " The Limits of Arbitrage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 35-55, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Smith, Michael A. & Paton, David & Williams, Leighton Vaughan, 2009. "Do bookmakers possess superior skills to bettors in predicting outcomes?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 539-549, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-9.


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