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The sense of causality between growth and economic development: an essay on VAR modeling in the case of Tunisia

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  • Mabrouki, Mohamed

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to study the relationship between the economic growth and the development. While, even if it is recognized that the growth is definitely a condition of the development, it is not always sufficient. In this research, we are interested to demonstrate the extent to which growth promotes the development? Did the development leading to growth? Our empirical investigation attempts to test the relationship between GDP and three components of the development indicator (HDI). Using the techniques of VAR modeling and causality in Granger's sense, in the framework of the Tunisian economy during the period from 1970 to 2015, the results of the estimates show the existence of a reciprocal link between economic growth and development.

Suggested Citation

  • Mabrouki, Mohamed, 2016. "The sense of causality between growth and economic development: an essay on VAR modeling in the case of Tunisia," MPRA Paper 76427, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76427
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lindert Peter H., 1994. "The Rise of Social Spending, 1880-1930," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 1-37, January.
    2. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    3. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    4. Jacob Mincer, 1958. "Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(4), pages 281-281.
    5. Christopher A. Sims, 1996. "Macroeconomics and Methodology," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 10(1), pages 105-120, Winter.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhongwu Zhang & Guokui Wang & Xiaojia Guo, 2022. "Long-Term and Short-Term Effects of Carbon Emissions on Regional Healthy Development in Shanxi Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-14, April.
    2. Mohamed Mabrouki, 2018. "Supporting economic growth through innovation: How does human capital influence the rate of growth?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 957-972.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Development; HDI; VAR; Granger Causality; Tunisia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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