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Conventional or New? Optimal Investment Allocation across Vintages of Technology

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Aruga, Osamu

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Abstract

This paper develops and analyzes a growth model that consists of complementary long-lived and short-lived vintage-specific capital. As a result of the existence of complementary capital that is vintage compatible but has different longevity, the model generates two distinct investment patterns: (i) if the rate of vintage-specific technological progress is above a threshold–which is the product of long-lived capital’s share and the difference in the rates of depreciation–then all new investment is allocated to the capital that embodies the frontier technology; (ii) otherwise, some investment is allocated to obsolete, short-lived capital to exploit the existing stock of obsolete long-lived capital. The result provides a new explanation for observed investment in obsolete technologies. An important implication of this result is that equipment price-changes do not necessarily reflect the rate of progress, since the prices of obsolete short-lived capital remain the same when the rate of the progress is slow enough (as mentioned in (ii) above). Another implication is that acceleration in the rate of vintage-specific technological progress can cause an abrupt reallocation of investment towards modern capital–consistent with investment booms that are concentrated in certain “high-tech” equipment.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 6043.

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Date of creation: 23 Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:6043

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Related research
Keywords: Vintage Capital Intangible Capital Capital Heterogeneity Pricing of Capital Goods Maintenance and Repair

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
O3 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change
O4 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hulten, Charles R, 1992. "Growth Accounting When Technical Change Is Embodied in Capital," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 964-80, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Charles R. Hulten, 1992. "Growth Accounting When Technical Change is Embodied in Capital," NBER Working Papers 3971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Ellen R. McGrattan & James A. Schmitz, Jr., 1999. "Maintenance and repair: too big to ignore," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall, pages 2-13. [Downloadable!]
  4. Jovanovic, B. & Nyarko, Y., 1996. "Learning by Doing and the Choice of Technology," Working Papers 96-25, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Greenwood, Jeremy & Hercowitz, Zvi & Krusell, Per, 1997. "Long-Run Implications of Investment-Specific Technological Change," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(3), pages 342-62, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2005. "Modeling and measuring organization capital," Staff Report 291, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Leonardo Felli & Francois Ortalo-Magne, . ""Technological Innovations: Slumps and Booms''," CARESS Working Papres 97-17, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Oliner, Stephen D. & Sichel, Daniel E., 2003. "Information technology and productivity: where are we now and where are we going?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 477-503, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Mullen, J. K. & Williams, Martin, 2004. "Maintenance and repair expenditures: determinants and tradeoffs with new capital goods," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 483-499. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Boyan Jovanovic, 2008. "When Should Firms Invest in Old Capital?," NBER Working Papers 14000, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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