Labor market and natural rate of unemployment in US and Canadian time series analysis
AbstractCanadian labor market data are being used in this paper. These series are quarterly data from 1980 Q1 to 2000 Q4. This series are stationary by test for cointegration I(0), meaning that there exist equilibrium relationship between the time series labour productivity (prod), employment (e), unemployment rate (U), real wages (rw).This notion was definitively confirmed with VEC model. VEC model shows long run coefficient, and if the system is in disequilibrium , alteration of the variables will only be -0.003 for real wages or -0.3%, -0.001 for unemployment or -0.1%, -0.000 for productivity or -0%,and -0% for employment. This means that Canadian labour market is in equilibrium working at natural rate of unemployment and by equilibrium wages.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 34685.
Date of creation: 14 Nov 2011
Date of revision:
employment; real wages; labour productivity; VAR ; VECM;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- J40 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - General
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- Steven J. Davis & R. Jason Faberman & John Haltiwanger, 2006.
"The Flow Approach to Labor Markets: New Data Sources and Micro-Macro Links,"
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
12167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Lütkepohl, Helmut & POSKITT, D.S., 1996. "Testing for Causation Using Infinite Order Vector Autoregressive Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(01), pages 61-87, March.
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