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Testing for Causation Using Infinite Order Vector Autoregressive Processes

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Author Info
L?tkepohl, Helmut
POSKITT, D.S.
Abstract

Tests for Granger-causality have been performed in numerous empirical studies. These tests are usually based on finite order vector autoregressive (VAR) processes, and the assumption is made that the model fitted to the available data corresponds to the true data generating mechanism. In the present study, the more general assumption is made that a finite order VAR model is fitted to a potentially infinite order process. The order is assumed to increase with the sample size. Asymptotic properties of tests for Granger-causality as well as other types of causality concepts are derived. Some limited small sample results are obtained using simulation methods.

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File URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S0266466600006447
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Econometric Theory.

Volume (Year): 12 (1996)
Issue (Month): 01 (March)
Pages: 61-87
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:12:y:1996:i:01:p:61-87_00

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  1. Javier Hidalgo, 2003. "A Bootstrap Causality Test for Covariance Stationary Processes," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2003/462, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Javier Hidalgo, 2000. "Nonparametric Test for Causality with Long-Range Dependence - (Now published in Econometrica, 68, (2000) pp.1465-1490," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2000/387, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
  3. H. L"Utkepohl & J. Breitung, . "Impulse Response Analysis of Vector Autoregressive Processes," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-86, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  4. Andrew Rennison, 2003. "Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach," Working Papers 03-8, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  5. Serguei Zernov & Victoria Zindle-Walsh & John Galbraith, 2006. "Asymptotics For Estimation Of Truncated Infinite-Dimensional Quantile Regressions," Departmental Working Papers 2006-16, McGill University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. DUFOUR, Jean-Marie & PELLETIER, Denis & RENAULT, Éric, 2003. "Short Run and Long Run Causality in Time Series : Inference," Cahiers de recherche 14-2003, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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