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The link between gasoline prices and vehicle sales:economic theory trumps conventional Detroit wisdom

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Author Info
McManus, Walter

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Abstract

This paper examines the link between fuel prices and sales of cars and trucks. U.S. automakers have long denied that such a link exists. One source of this false belief is an obsession with the crude count of units sold, equating Hummers with Minis. Another source is the conventional “wisdom” that Americans are unwilling to pay for fuel economy. The paper presents theoretical reasons and market evidence that refute Detroit’s conventional wisdom. American manufacturers’ reaction to rising fuel prices over the last few years revealed the shortcomings of the U.S. automakers’ recent product and powertrain strategies. The effect of rising fuel prices has, in effect, been offset by reducing prices of vehicles in inverse proportion to fuel economy. Thus, unit sales of large SUVs could be maintained, but their revenue (and profit) fell because vehicle prices were cut, directly or indirectly. The paper concludes with a few practical guidelines that business economists should use to prevent their companies from experiencing the recent massive losses experienced by the U.S. automobile industry.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/3463/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 3463.

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Date of creation: Jan 2007
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Publication status: Published in Business Economics 1.42(2007): pp. 54-60
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:3463

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Related research
Keywords: automotive industry fuel prices vehicle sales American automakers

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics
L62 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment

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This item is featured on the following reading lists:
  1. Studies on the automobile industry
References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1980. "The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 239-53, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Adam Copeland & George Hall, 2006. "The Response of Prices, Sales, and Output to Temporary Changes in Demand," 2006 Meeting Papers 39, Society for Economic Dynamics. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Carol Corrado & Wendy Dunn & Maria Otoo, 2006. "Incentives and prices for motor vehicles: what has been happening in recent years?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-09, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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