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Exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Ghana: Evidence from structural vector auto-regression

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  • Sanusi, Aliyu Rafindadi

Abstract

This paper develops a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model for the Ghanaian economy to estimate the pass-through effects of exchange rate changes to consumer prices. The model incorporates the special features of the Ghanaian economy, especially its dependence on foreign aid and primary commodity exports for foreign exchange earnings. The findings show that the pass-through to consumer prices, although incomplete, is substantially large. This suggests that exchange rate depreciation is a potentially important source of inflation in Ghana. Using variance decomposition analyses, it is found that monetary expansion has been more important in explaining Ghana’s actual inflationary process than the exchange rate depreciation. One policy implication of these findings is that policies that aim at lowering inflation must focus on monetary and exchange rate stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Sanusi, Aliyu Rafindadi, 2010. "Exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Ghana: Evidence from structural vector auto-regression," MPRA Paper 29491, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:29491
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jamilu Iliyasu & Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi, 2023. "The role of announced exchange rate policies on exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in an oil-based small open economy," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, January.
    2. Azwifaneli I. Nemushu, 2016. "Rand volatility and inflation in South Africa," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 4(6), pages 8-20, December.
    3. Asafo, Shuffield Seyram, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Prices : Bayesian VAR Evidence for Ghana," MPRA Paper 92967, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ahmed Mohammed, Abdullahi & Mati, Sagir & Husssain, Mustapha, 2017. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Consumer Prices in Nigeria and Taylor’s Hypothesis: A Structural Vector Auto Regression Analysis," MPRA Paper 111785, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Dec 2016.
    5. Naz, Farah & Mohsin, Asma & Zaman, Khalid, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through in to inflation: New insights in to the cointegration relationship from Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2205-2221.
    6. Adekunle, Wasiu & Tiamiyu, Ajao, 2018. "Exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Nigeria: An asymmetric approach," MPRA Paper 88797, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Pass-Through; Inflation; Structural Vector-Autoregression; Foreign Aid; Ghana;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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