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Implicații ale volatilității cursului de schimb asupra schimburilor comerciale internaționale (cazul Romaniei)
[Implications of exchange rate volatility on international trade (The case of Romania)]

Author

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  • Ghiba, Nicolae

Abstract

This paper aims to establish particularities for the relationship between exchange rate volatility and the international trade in Romania. Currency depreciation, normally, should stimulate exports, because they become cheaper to foreign products and to discourage imports because they will spend more units of local currency to purchase goods in another state. By contrast, appreciation leads to some backfire: exports are hampered and imports increase. The theoretic area may be contradicted by practical cases. This analysis starts from well-known cases in this domain from around the world. Volatility of exchange rate on international trade is debated on Romania’s example using econometric methods. The volatility of exchange rate has a moderate influence in international trade, despite advantages obtained by the participants when the currency evolutes in the desired direction for them.

Suggested Citation

  • Ghiba, Nicolae, 2010. "Implicații ale volatilității cursului de schimb asupra schimburilor comerciale internaționale (cazul Romaniei) [Implications of exchange rate volatility on international trade (The case of Romania)," MPRA Paper 28453, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Jan 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28453
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Kimura, Fukunari, 2009. "The effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade in East Asia," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 395-406, December.
    2. Byrne, Joseph P. & Darby, Julia & MacDonald, Ronald, 2008. "US trade and exchange rate volatility: A real sectoral bilateral analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 238-259, March.
    3. Baek, Jungho & Mulik, Kranti & Koo, Won W., 2006. "The J-Curve Phenomenon: Myth or Reality?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21382, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Bruno Coric & Geoff Pugh, 2010. "The effects of exchange rate variability on international trade: a meta-regression analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(20), pages 2631-2644.
    5. Paul R. Krugman & Richard E. Baldwin, 1987. "The Persistence of the U.S. Trade Deficit," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 18(1), pages 1-56.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate; volatility; currency; international trade; depreciation; appreciation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F0 - International Economics - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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