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Implicații ale volatilității cursului de schimb asupra schimburilor comerciale internaționale (cazul Romaniei)
[Implications of exchange rate volatility on international trade (The case of Romania)]

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  • Ghiba, Nicolae
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    Abstract

    This paper aims to establish particularities for the relationship between exchange rate volatility and the international trade in Romania. Currency depreciation, normally, should stimulate exports, because they become cheaper to foreign products and to discourage imports because they will spend more units of local currency to purchase goods in another state. By contrast, appreciation leads to some backfire: exports are hampered and imports increase. The theoretic area may be contradicted by practical cases. This analysis starts from well-known cases in this domain from around the world. Volatility of exchange rate on international trade is debated on Romania’s example using econometric methods. The volatility of exchange rate has a moderate influence in international trade, despite advantages obtained by the participants when the currency evolutes in the desired direction for them.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 28453.

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    Date of creation: 11 Nov 2010
    Date of revision: 27 Jan 2011
    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28453

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    Keywords: exchange rate; volatility; currency; international trade; depreciation; appreciation;

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    1. Bruno Coric & Geoff Pugh, 2010. "The effects of exchange rate variability on international trade: a meta-regression analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(20), pages 2631-2644.
    2. Byrne, Joseph P. & Darby, Julia & MacDonald, Ronald, 2008. "US trade and exchange rate volatility: A real sectoral bilateral analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 238-259, March.
    3. Paul R. Krugman & Richard E. Baldwin, 1987. "The Persistence of the U.S. Trade Deficit," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 18(1), pages 1-56.
    4. Baek, Jungho & Mulik, Kranti & Koo, Won W., 2006. "The J-Curve Phenomenon: Myth or Reality?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) 21382, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Kimura, Fukunari, 2009. "The effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade in East Asia," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 395-406, December.
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