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Opium for the Masses: How Foreign Free Media Can Stabilize Authoritarian Regimes

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Author Info
Kern, Holger
Hainmueller, Jens

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Abstract

A common claim in the democratization literature is that foreign free media undermine authoritarian rule. No reliable micro-level evidence on this topic exists, however, since independent survey research is rarely possible in authoritarian regimes and self-selection into media consumption complicates causal inferences. In this case study of the impact of West German television on political attitudes in communist East Germany, we address these problems by making use of previously secret survey data and a natural experiment. While most East Germans were able to tune in to West German broadcasts, some of them were cut off from West German television due to East Germany's topography. We exploit this plausibly exogenous variation to estimate the impact of West German television on East Germans' political attitudes using instrumental variable estimators. Contrary to conventional wisdom, East Germans who watched West German television were more satisfied with life in East Germany and the communist regime. To explain this surprising finding, we demonstrate that West German television's role in transmitting political information not available in the state-controlled communist media was insignificant and that television primarily served as a means of entertainment for East Germans. Archival material on the reaction of the East German regime to the availability of West German television corroborates our argument.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 2702.

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Date of creation: Aug 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:2702

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Related research
Keywords: instrumental variables causal inference local average response function media effects East Germany democratization

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F50 - International Economics - - International Relations and International Political Economy - - - General
D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information
O17 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Lagerlof, Johan N.M. & Heidhues, Paul, 2005. "On the desirability of an efficiency defense in merger control," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 23(9-10), pages 803-827, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Bram Cadsby, C. & Maynes, Elizabeth, 1998. "Gender and free riding in a threshold public goods game: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 603-620, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Ruben Enikolopov & Maria Petrova & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, 2007. "Television and Political Persuasion in Young Democracies: Evidence from Russia," Working Papers w0113, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR). [Downloadable!]
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