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A Neural Network Measurement of Relative Military Security: The Case of Greece and Cyprus

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Author Info
Andreou, Andreas S.
ZOMBANAKIS, GEORGE A.

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Abstract

This paper aims at introducing a relative security measure, applicable to evaluating the impact of arms races on the military security of allies. This measure is based on demographic criteria, which play a dominant role in a number of arms races involving military alliances. The case of Greece and Cyprus, on one hand, and Turkey on the other, is the one to which our relative security measure is applied and tested. Artificial neural networks were trained to forecast the future behaviour of relative security. The high forecasting performance permitted the application of alternative scenarios for predicting the impact of the Greek - Turkish arms race on the relative security of the Greek - Cypriot alliance.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14539/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 14539.

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Date of creation: 2001
Date of revision: 2001
Publication status: Published in DEFENCE AND PEACE ECONOMICS 4.12(2001): pp. 303-324
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14539

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Related research
Keywords: Arms Race; Neural Networks; Relative Military Security;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Stavrinos, Vasilios G. & Zombanakis, George A., 1998. "The Vicious Cycle of the Foreign Military Debt," MPRA Paper 17758, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
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  1. A. S. Andreou & K. E. Parsopoulos & M. N. Vrahatis & G. A. Zombanakis, 2004. "An alliance between Cyprus and Greece: assessing its partners' relative security contribution," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 481-495, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. A. S. Andreou & K. E. Parsopoulos & M. N. Vrahatis & G. A. Zombanakis, 2002. "Optimal Versus Required Defence Expenditure: The Case Of The Greek-Turkish Arms Race," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 329-347, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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