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Nine views of the Phillips curve: Eight authentic and one inauthentic

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  • James Forder

Abstract

There is a widely believed but entirely mythical story to the effect that the discovery of 'the Phillips curve' was, in the 1960s and perhaps later, an inspiration to inflationist policy. The point that this is a myth is argued in Forder, Macroeconomics and the Phillips curve myth, OUP 2014. One aspect of the explanation of how that myth came to be widely believed is considered in this paper. It is noted that the expression 'Phillips curve' was applied in a number of quite distinct and inconsistent ways, and as a result there was, by about 1980, an enormous confusion as to what that label meant. This confusion, as well as the multiplicity of possible meanings, it is suggested, made the acceptance of the myth much easier, and is therefore part, although only part, of the story of its acceptance.

Suggested Citation

  • James Forder, 2014. "Nine views of the Phillips curve: Eight authentic and one inauthentic," Economics Series Working Papers 724, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:724
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Santomero, Anthony M & Seater, John J, 1978. "The Inflation-Unemployment Trade-off: A Critique of the Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 499-544, June.
    2. G. L. Perry, 1964. "The Determinants of Wage Rate Changes and the Inflation-Unemployment Trade-off for the United States," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 31(4), pages 287-308.
    3. A. W. Phillips, 1958. "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 25(100), pages 283-299, November.
    4. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-491, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Voinea, Liviu, 2019. "The Post-Crisis Phillips Curve: A New Empirical Relationship between Wage and Inflation," GLO Discussion Paper Series 303, Global Labor Organization (GLO).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Phillips curve; expectations; Phillips curve myth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • B29 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Other

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