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Politicians' Age and Long-Term Policy: Evidence from Brazilian Municipalities

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  • Dahis, Ricardo
  • de las Heras, Iván
  • Saavedra, Santiago

Abstract

A fundamental difficulty in policy-making is that policies often have costs today but benefits far into the future. This difficulty is particularly salient to climate change and environmental conservation policies. A critical dimension in this trade-off is the age of politicians. Younger politicians have a longer lifespan, which could lead them to weigh more future policy benefits. However, younger politicians might be more prone to show short-term economic results to climb the political ladder. We study this trade-off in the case of Brazilian mayors and deforestation, using a regression dis- continuity design for close elections. We find that when a young politician is elected, there is a reduction in deforestation and greenhouse gas emissions intensity, without significant effects on municipal gross domestic product. The results also show that younger politicians allocate more budget to education and capital investment, suggesting that the time horizon aspect dominates the trade-off. These results illustrate the importance of youth political participation for long-term policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Dahis, Ricardo & de las Heras, Iván & Saavedra, Santiago, 2022. "Politicians' Age and Long-Term Policy: Evidence from Brazilian Municipalities," SocArXiv h5tn2, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:h5tn2
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/h5tn2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bragança, Arthur & Dahis, Ricardo, 2022. "Cutting special interests by the roots: Evidence from the Brazilian Amazon," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    2. Burgess, Robin & Costa, Francisco J M & Olken, Ben, 2019. "The Brazilian Amazon’s Double Reversal of Fortune," SocArXiv 67xg5, Center for Open Science.
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