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Protectionist Pressures, Imports, and Employment in the United States

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Anne O. Krueger
Abstract

This paper assesses the theoretical and empirical basis for American labor union leaders' contention that imports have been a big source of job loss in the United States. It is shown, first, that identification of job losses "due to imports" is exceptionally difficult because economic growth affects adversely the industries believed affected by imports. Then, an accounting framework is employed to assess possible empirical orders of magnitude. The results are fairly conclusive in indicating that factors other than import competition have been primary in leading to structural shifts in employment.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 0461.

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Date of creation: Mar 1980
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:0461

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  1. Baldwin, Robert E, 1971. "Determinants of the Commodity Structure of U.S. Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 126-46, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Robert C. Feenstra, 1995. "Estimating the Effects of Trade Policy," NBER Working Papers 5051, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Tongzon , Jose L., 1985. "The Australian System of Tariff Preferences: An Evaluation of its Employment Effects in the Context of Australia-ASEAN Trade," Philippine Journal of Development, Philippine Institute for Development Studies, vol. 0(2), pages 290-323. [Downloadable!]
  3. Roderick Hill, 1995. "Trade Shocks And Employment Change In Canadian Manufacturing Industries: An Applied General Equilibrium Approach," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 73-88, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. R. Antonietti & D. Antonioli, 2007. "Production offshoring and the skill composition of Italian manufacturing firms A quasi-experimental analysis," Working Papers 594, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna. [Downloadable!]
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