On the empirical evidence of asymmetry effects in the interest rate pass-through in Poland
AbstractThis paper empirically examines the potential asymmetries in the interest rate pass-through in Poland. We investigate the chosen retail interest rates in commercial banks on deposits and loans denominated in the Polish currency. It is considered whether their adjustment to changes in interbank rates is asymmetric in the long term as well as in the short term. We test for asymmetric cointegration using threshold autoregressive models and momentum-threshold autoregressive models. Next, if it is possible applying the threshold error correction models, we search for asymmetries associated with the direction of change in the money market rate, the level of the economic activity, the level of liquidity in the banking sector, the central bank’s credibility and the economic agents’ expectations. Finally, we test whether using the asymmetric models improves the quality of forecasts of retail bank interest rates.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute in its series National Bank of Poland Working Papers with number 114.
Date of creation: 2012
Date of revision:
Note: Proceedings from the NBP seminar “Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland. What do we know in 2011?”, December 5th, 2011.
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More information through EDIRC
interest rate pass-through; asymmetries; threshold models; forecasting;
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2012-05-02 (All new papers)
- NEP-FOR-2012-05-02 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MON-2012-05-02 (Monetary Economics)
- NEP-TRA-2012-05-02 (Transition Economics)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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- Anna Sznajderska, 2012. "On asymmetric effects in a monetary policy rule. The case of Poland," National Bank of Poland Working Papers, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute 125, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
- Tomasz Åyziak & Oksana Demchuk & Jan Przystupa & Anna Sznajderska & Ewa WrÃ³bel, 2012. "Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland. What do we know in 2011?," National Bank of Poland Working Papers, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute 116, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
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