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Trade with China and skill upgrading: Evidence from Belgian firm level data

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Author Info

  • Giordano Mion

    ()
    (National Bank of Belgium, Research Department
    London School of Economics, Department of Geography and Environment)

  • Hylke Vandenbussche

    ()
    (Université Catholique de Louvain
    LICOS)

  • Linke Zhu

    ()
    (Catholic University of Leuven
    LICOS)

Abstract

We use Belgian firm-level data over the period 1996-2007 to analyze the impact of imports from China and other low-wage countries on firm growth, exit, and skill upgrading in manufacturing. For this purpose we use both industry-level and firm-level imports by country of origin and distinguish between firm-level outsourcing of final versus intermediate goods. Results indicate that, both industry-level import competition and firm-level outsourcing to China reduce firm employment growth and induce skill upgrading. In contrast, industry-level imports have no effect on Belgian firm survival, while firm-level outsourcing of finished goods to China even increased firm's probability of survival. In terms of skill upgrading, the effect of Chinese imports is large. Industry import competition from China accounts for 42% (20%) of the within firm increase in the share of skilled workers (non-production workers) in Belgian manufacturing over the period of our analysis, but these effects, as well as the employment reducing effect, remain mainly in low-tech industries. Firm-level outsourcing to China further accounts for a small but significant increase in the share of nonproduction workers. This change in employment structure is in line with predictions of offshoring models and Schott's (2008) 'moving up the quality ladder' story. All these results are robust to IV estimation

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by National Bank of Belgium in its series Working Paper Research with number 194.

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Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nbb:reswpp:201009-22

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Keywords: import competition; outsourcing; China; skill upgrading;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Julien Martin & Isabelle Méjean, 2012. "Low-Wage Countries’ Competition, Reallocation Across Firms and the Quality Content of Exports," Working Papers 2012-04, CEPII research center.
  2. Thomas Kemeny & David Rigby, 2012. "Trading away what kind of jobs? Globalization, trade and tasks in the US economy," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 148(1), pages 1-16, April.
  3. Maria Bas & Pamela Bombarda, 2011. "Unilateral trade reform, Market Access and Foreign Competition: the Patterns of Multi-Product Exporters," Working Papers 2011-18, CEPII research center.

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