Exports,growth and causality. New evidence on Italy: 1863-2004
AbstractThis paper investigates the causal relationship between real export and real GDP in Italy from 1863 to 2004 by using cointegration analysis and causality tests. The outcome suggests that in the period prior to WW1 the growth of the Italian economy led that of exports, while in the post-WW2 period the causal relationship was reversed with the expansion of exports that determined the growth of the Italian economy.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi" in its series Department of Economics with number 0633.
Length: pages 29
Date of creation: Sep 2010
Date of revision:
Export led growth hypothesis; unit root tests; cointegration analysis; Granger – causality;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
- O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
- N1 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations
- N7 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-10-16 (All new papers)
- NEP-FDG-2010-10-16 (Financial Development & Growth)
- NEP-HIS-2010-10-16 (Business, Economic & Financial History)
- NEP-OPM-2010-10-16 (Open Economy Macroeconomic)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Giuseppe Marotta, 1997. "Does trade credit redistribution thwart monetary policy? Evidence from Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(12), pages 1619-1629.
- Ciccarelli, Carlo & Fenoaltea, Stefano, 2007. "Business fluctuations in Italy, 1861-1913: The new evidence," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 432-451, July.
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"Emigrant and immigrant networks in FDI,"
Applied Economics Letters,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1261-1264.
- Massimo Baldini & Teresio Poggio, 2010.
"Housing policy toward the rental sector in Italy: a distributive assessment,"
Center for the Analysis of Public Policies (CAPP)
0076, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia Politica.
- Massimo Baldini & Teresio Poggio, 2010. "Housing policy toward the rental sector in Italy: a distributive assessment," Department of Economics 0632, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Emanuele Felice & Giovanni Vecchi, 2012. "Italy’s Modern Economic Growth, 1861-2011," Department of Economics University of Siena 663, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
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