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Exports,growth and causality. New evidence on Italy: 1863-2004

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  • Barbara Pistoresi

    ()

  • Alberto Rinaldi

    ()

Abstract

This paper investigates the causal relationship between real export and real GDP in Italy from 1863 to 2004 by using cointegration analysis and causality tests. The outcome suggests that in the period prior to WW1 the growth of the Italian economy led that of exports, while in the post-WW2 period the causal relationship was reversed with the expansion of exports that determined the growth of the Italian economy.

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File URL: http://www.dep.unimore.it/materiali_discussione/0633.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi" in its series Department of Economics with number 0633.

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Length: pages 29
Date of creation: Sep 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mod:depeco:0633

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Web page: http://www.dep.unimore.it/
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Related research

Keywords: Export led growth hypothesis; unit root tests; cointegration analysis; Granger – causality;

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References

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  1. Marina Murat & Barbara Pistoresi, 2009. "Emigrant and immigrant networks in FDI," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1261-1264.
  2. Massimo Baldini & Teresio Poggio, 2010. "Housing policy toward the rental sector in Italy: a distributive assessment," Department of Economics 0632, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
  3. Ciccarelli, Carlo & Fenoaltea, Stefano, 2007. "Business fluctuations in Italy, 1861-1913: The new evidence," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 432-451, July.
  4. Giuseppe Marotta, 1997. "Does trade credit redistribution thwart monetary policy? Evidence from Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(12), pages 1619-1629.
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Cited by:
  1. Emanuele Felice & Giovanni Vecchi, 2012. "Italy’s Modern Economic Growth, 1861-2011," Department of Economics University of Siena 663, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
  2. Emanuele Felice & Giovanni Vecchi, 2013. "Italy’s Growth and Decline, 1861-2011," CEIS Research Paper 293, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Oct 2013.
  3. Evans, Olaniyi, 2013. "Testing Finance-Led, Export-Led and Import-Led Growth Hypotheses on Four Sub-Saharan African Economies," MPRA Paper 52460, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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