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Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario

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Author Info

  • Frank T. Denton
  • Amiram Gafni
  • Byron G. Spencer

Abstract

The effects of population change on requirements for physicians in Ontario are studied. Principal findings are the following: (a) contrary to popular belief, the overall increase in requirements will be significantly lower in 2000-2020 than in the preceding two decades; (b) population aging alone will raise the overall rate of growth of requirements but that will be more than offset by slower population growth; (c) the main effect of aging will be on the distribution of requirements among categories of physicians. These findings suggest that the emphasis on population aging in policy discussions of future overall physician requirements is unwarranted.

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File URL: http://socserv.mcmaster.ca/qsep/p/qsep355.PDF
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by McMaster University in its series Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports with number 355.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mcm:qseprr:355

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Keywords: population change; physicians; aging;

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Cited by:
  1. Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2001. "Exploring the Effects of Population Change on the Costs of Physician Services," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 358, McMaster University.
  2. Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2005. "Users and Suppliers of Physician Services: A Tale of Two Populations," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 136, McMaster University.
  3. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2009. "Chronic Health Conditions: Changing Prevalence in an Aging Population and Some Implications for the Delivery of Health Care Services," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 435, McMaster University.

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