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The Endogeneity-to-Demand of the National Emergency Utilization Rate

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  • Michalis Nikiforos

Abstract

The paper provides an empirical discussion of the national emergency utilization rate (NEUR), which is based on a "national emergency" definition of potential output and is published by the US Census Bureau. Over the peak-to-peak period 1989-2019, the NEUR decreased by 14.2 percent. The paper examines the trajectory of potential determinants of capacity utilization over the same period as specified in the related theory, namely: capital intensity, relative prices of labor and capital, shift differentials, rhythmic variations in demand, industry concentration, and aggregate demand. It shows that most of them have moved in a direction that would lead to an increase in utilization. The main factor that can explain the decrease in the NEUR is aggregate demand, while the increase in industry concentration might have also played a small role.

Suggested Citation

  • Michalis Nikiforos, 2021. "The Endogeneity-to-Demand of the National Emergency Utilization Rate," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_989, Levy Economics Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:lev:wrkpap:wp_989
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Justin R. Pierce & Emily Wisniewski, 2018. "Some Characteristics of the Decline in Manufacturing Capacity Utilization," FEDS Notes 2018-03-01-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Shapiro, Matthew D, 1986. "Capital Utilization and Capital Accumulation: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(3), pages 211-234, July.
    3. Michalis Nikiforos, 2013. "The (Normal) Rate of Capacity Utilization at the Firm Level," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(3), pages 513-538, July.
    4. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Matthew Shapiro, 2011. "Using the Survey of Plant Capacity to Measure Capital Utilization," Working Papers 11-19, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    5. Thomas R. Michl & Duncan K. Foley, 2004. "Social security in a Classical growth model," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 28(1), pages 1-20, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Accumulation; Growth; Distribution; Utilization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • D3 - Microeconomics - - Distribution
    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations

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