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Keeping off the Grass? An Econometric Model of Cannabis Consumption by Young People in Britain

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Author Info
Stephen Pudney ()

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Abstract

This paper presents estimates of a dynamic individual-level model of cannabis consumption, using data from a 1998 survey of young people in Britain. The econometric model is a split-population generalisation of the non-stationary Poisson process, allowing for a separate dynamic process for initiation into cannabis use. The model allows for heterogeneity in consumption levels and behavioural shifts induced by leaving education and the parental home.

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File URL: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/econ02-9.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Leicester in its series Discussion Papers in Economics with number 02/9.

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Date of creation: Aug 2001
Date of revision: Mar 2002
Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:02/9

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Postal: Department of Economics University of Leicester, University Road. Leicester. LE1 7RH. UK
Phone: +44 (0)116 252 2887
Fax: +44 (0)116 252 2908
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Web page: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/

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Related research
Keywords: Cannabis; Illicit drugs; Transition modelling; Poisson processes; Demand analysis;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data
K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Pudney, Stephen, 2002. "The Road to Ruin? Sequences of initiation to drug use and offending by young people in Britain," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 156, Royal Economic Society. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Labeaga, Jose M., 1999. "A double-hurdle rational addiction model with heterogeneity: Estimating the demand for tobacco," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 49-72, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Z. MacDonald & S. Pudney, 2000. "Analysing drug abuse with British Crime Survey data: modelling and questionnaire design issues," Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 49(1), pages 95-117. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Stephen Pudney, . "The growth of Illicit Drugs Markets in the UK 1978-99," Discussion Papers in Public Sector Economics 01/7, Department of Economics, University of Leicester. [Downloadable!]
  5. Donald S. Kenkel & Joseph V. Terza, 2001. "The effect of physician advice on alcohol consumption: count regression with an endogenous treatment effect," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 165-184. [Downloadable!]
  6. Frank J. Chaloupka & Michael Grossman & John A. Tauras, 1998. "The Demand for Cocaine and Marijuana by Youth," NBER Working Papers 6411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Frank J. Chaloupka & Michael Grossman & John A. Tauras, 1999. "The Demand for Cocaine and Marijuana by Youth," NBER Chapters, in: The Economic Analysis of Substance Use and Abuse: An Integration of Econometrics and Behavioral Economic Research, pages 133-156 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  7. Becker, Gary S & Murphy, Kevin M, 1988. "A Theory of Rational Addiction," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(4), pages 675-700, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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