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Un Marco para el Análisis de los Procesos Macroeconómicos en la obra de Prebisch

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  • Martín Guzmán
  • Martín Fiszbein
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    Abstract

    En el presente trabajo retomamos la obra de Raúl Prebisch con el objetivo de estudiar temas relevantes en la determinación de la política económica en Argentina en la actualidad. Nuestro análisis se centra en tres aspectos esenciales de su obra: a) la fuerte relevancia de los impactos de origen externo en los ciclos en la periferia; b) las diferencias en los procesos que determinan la evolución del sistema económico entre las economías del centro y las economías de la periferia; y c) la identificación de mecanismos que generan fluctuaciones "excesivas", y que deben ser enfrentadas por la política económica. Para el análisis de tales temas, presentamos de manera formal un marco de restricciones de presupuesto. Finalizamos mostrando cómo el análisis de inestabilidades que dificultan la definición de tendencias es un fenómeno de gran relevancia empírica, y postulamos que el anáilisis prebischiano es de relevancia actual para el diseño de políticas económicas que ayuden a estabilizar tendencias.

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    File URL: http://www.depeco.econo.unlp.edu.ar/doctrab/doc84.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata in its series Department of Economics, Working Papers with number 084.

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    Length: 31 pages
    Date of creation: Apr 2011
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:lap:wpaper:084

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    Web page: http://www.depeco.econo.unlp.edu.ar/doctrab.php
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    1. Mark Aguiar & Gita Gopinath, 2004. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend," NBER Working Papers 10734, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Guillermo A. Calvo & Alejandro Izquierdo & Luis Fernando Mejía, 2004. "On the Empirics of Sudden Stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects," IDB Publications 6516, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo, 2000. "When Capital Inflows Come to a Sudden Stop: Consequences and Policy Options," MPRA Paper 6982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Sebastian Galiani & Mariano Tommasi & Daniel Heymann, 2002. "Missed Expectations: The Argentine Convertibility," Working Papers 55, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Nov 2003.
    5. Emine Boz & Christian Daude & C. Bora Durdu, 2011. "Emerging Market Business Cycles Revisited: Learning about the Trend," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1110, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    6. Sebastian Edwards, 2005. "Capital Controls, Sudden Stops and Current Account Reversals," NBER Working Papers 11170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Diego Bastourre & Jorge Carrera & Javier Ibarlucia, 2009. "What is Driving Reserve Accumulation? A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(4), pages 861-877, 09.
    8. Martín Redrado & Jorge Carrera & Diego Bastourre & Javier Ibarlucia, 2006. "The Economic Policy of Foreign Reserve Accumulation: New International Evidence," BCRA Working Paper Series 200614, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
    9. Martín Redrado & Jorge Carrera & Diego Bastourre & Javier Ibarlucia (ed.), 2006. "The Economic Policy of Foreign Reserve Accumulation: New International Evidence," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 02, June.
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