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On The Distributional Robustness Of Finite Rational Inattention Models

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  • Emerson Melo

    (Indiana University, Department of Economics)

Abstract

In this paper we study a Rational Inattention model in environments where the decision maker faces uncertainty about the true prior distribution over states. The decision maker seeks to select a stochastic choice rule over a finite set of alternatives that is robust to prior ambiguity. Following the robust stochastic optimization literature, we fully characterize the distributional robustness of the Rational Inattention model in terms of a tractable concave program. Exploiting this structure we establish necessary and sufficient conditions to construct robust consideration sets that account for the fact that the prior distribution is unknown. Finally, we quantify the impact of prior uncertainty, by introducing the notion of Worst-Case Sensitivity, which is de?ned as the worst-case rate of decrease in the expected utility of a robust decision maker when the degree of prior uncertainty vanishes. We show that this quantity is proportional to the standard deviation associated to the decision maker?s expected utility.

Suggested Citation

  • Emerson Melo, 2022. "On The Distributional Robustness Of Finite Rational Inattention Models," CAEPR Working Papers 2022-011 Classification-D, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
  • Handle: RePEc:inu:caeprp:2022011
    as

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    File URL: https://caepr.indiana.edu/RePEc/inu/caeprp/caepr2022-011.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Filip Matêjka & Alisdair McKay, 2015. "Rational Inattention to Discrete Choices: A New Foundation for the Multinomial Logit Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(1), pages 272-298, January.
    2. Mogens Fosgerau & Emerson Melo & André de Palma & Matthew Shum, 2020. "Discrete Choice And Rational Inattention: A General Equivalence Result," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1569-1589, November.
    3. Andrew Caplin & Mark Dean & John Leahy, 2022. "Rationally Inattentive Behavior: Characterizing and Generalizing Shannon Entropy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(6), pages 1676-1715.
    4. Dasgupta, Kunal & Mondria, Jordi, 2018. "Inattentive importers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 150-165.
    5. Sims, Christopher A., 2003. "Implications of rational inattention," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 665-690, April.
    6. Sims, Christopher A., 2010. "Rational Inattention and Monetary Economics," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 4, pages 155-181, Elsevier.
    7. Gilboa, Itzhak & Schmeidler, David, 1989. "Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 141-153, April.
    8. Andrew Caplin & Mark Dean, 2013. "Behavioral Implications of Rational Inattention with Shannon Entropy," NBER Working Papers 19318, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Jun-ya Gotoh & Michael Jong Kim & Andrew E. B. Lim, 2020. "Worst-case sensitivity," Papers 2010.10794, arXiv.org.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rational Inattention; prior uncertainty; misspeci?ed models; Robust Optimization; o-divergences; Shannon Entropy; Risk Measures.;
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