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Fiscal Transparency and the Performance of Government Financial Assets

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  • Mr. Mike Seiferling
  • Mr. Shamsuddin Tareq

Abstract

Stock-flow adjustments are typically measured as the difference between changes in gross debt and deficits. These are interpreted as a proxy for unexplained fiscal discrepancies, and often associated with a lack of fiscal transparency. However, such measures fail to capture the role of financial assets and valuation changes and therefore do not correctly predict fiscal transparency. The purpose of this paper is to provide a more detailed exposition of stock-flow residuals and the relationship with fiscal transparency, highlighting government acquisition of equities and investment fund shares and their performance in secondary markets. The results suggest that the performance of government equity portfolios correlates with fiscal transparency to the extent that fully transparent governments are expected to generate between 6 and 8 percent higher returns on their equity portfolios than others. These findings suggest that the performance of government assets may be a promising area for future research of fiscal transparency and stock-flow residuals.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Mike Seiferling & Mr. Shamsuddin Tareq, 2015. "Fiscal Transparency and the Performance of Government Financial Assets," IMF Working Papers 2015/009, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Gandrud & Mark Hallerberg, 2015. "What is a Financial Crisis? Efficiently Measuring Real-Time Perceptions of Financial Market Stress with an Application to Financial Crisis Budget Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 5632, CESifo.
    2. Reischmann, Markus, 2016. "Creative accounting and electoral motives: Evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 243-257.
    3. Iana Paliova & Robert McNown & Grant Nülle, 2019. "Multiple Dimensions of Human Development Index and Public Social Spending for Sustainable Development," IMF Working Papers 2019/204, International Monetary Fund.
    4. de Renzio, Paolo & Wehner, Joachim, 2017. "The impacts of fiscal openness," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 82521, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Haizhen Mou & Maritza Lozano Man Hing, 2021. "Stringency of balanced budget laws and transparency of budgeting process," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 45-64, June.
    6. Mike Seiferling, 2020. "Apples, oranges and lemons: public sector debt statistics in the 21st century," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-17, December.
    7. Markus Reischmann, 2016. "Empirical Studies on Public Debt and Fiscal Transfers," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 63.
    8. Rachel F Wang & Mr. Timothy C Irwin & Lewis K Murara, 2015. "Trends in Fiscal Transparency: Evidence from a New Database of the Coverage of Fiscal Reporting," IMF Working Papers 2015/188, International Monetary Fund.

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