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Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms The Case of Italy

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  • Ms. Lusine Lusinyan
  • Mr. Dirk V Muir

Abstract

Wide-ranging structural reforms are underway in Italy, aimed at addressing key bottlenecks in the product and labor markets. Our analysis, based on the IMF‘s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF), attempts to quantify the potential gains to the economy from a comprehensive package of structural reforms. We find that these gains can be sizeable. While in most cases, the reforms go in the right direction, their impact would depend on effective and timely implementation. In some areas, especially in the labor market, reforms would benefit from further strengthening. The priorities should be to strengthen competition in the non-tradable sector and make the labor market more efficient and inclusive, supported by growth-friendly fiscal reforms.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Lusine Lusinyan & Mr. Dirk V Muir, 2013. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms The Case of Italy," IMF Working Papers 2013/022, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/022
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    Cited by:

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    2. Antonio Bassanetti & Matteo Bugamelli & Sandro Momigliano & Roberto Sabbatini & Francesco Zollino, 2014. "The policy response to macroeconomic and fiscal imbalances in Italy in the last fifteen years," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 67(268), pages 55-103.
    3. Michal Andrle & Mr. Alvar Kangur & Mr. Mehdi Raissi, 2018. "Italy: Quantifying the Benefits of a Comprehensive Reform Package," IMF Working Papers 2018/060, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Michele Catalano & Emilia Pezzolla, 2015. "The interaction between the labour tax wedge and structural reforms in Italy," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 185-223.
    5. Andrea Gerali & Alberto Locarno & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2015. "Every cloud has a silver lining. The sovereign crisis and Italian potential output," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1010, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Maurizio Zenezini, 2013. "Riforme e crescita in Italia: una nota," ECONOMIA E SOCIET? REGIONALE, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 97-113.
    7. Matthes, Jürgen, 2015. "Strukturreformen der Krisenländer: Bestandsaufnahme und Abschätzung der Relevanz für Wachstum und Währungsraum," IW policy papers 5/2015, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    8. Barbara Annichiarico & Fabio Di Dio & Francesco Felici, 2016. "IGEM II: a New Variant of the Italian General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers 4, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    9. Mariana Colacelli & Emilio Fernández Corugedo, 2018. "Macroeconomic Effects of Japan’s Demographics: Can Structural Reforms Reverse Them?," IMF Working Papers 2018/248, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Sara Calligaris & Massimo Del Gatto & Fadi Hassan & Gianmarco I P Ottaviano & Fabiano Schivardi & Tommaso MonacelliManaging Editor, 2018. "The productivity puzzle and misallocation: an Italian perspective," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 33(96), pages 635-684.
    11. Barbara Annicchiarico, Fabio Di Dio, Francesco Felici, 2013. "Pro-Competitive Reforms And Timing Of Implementation: An Igem-Based Simulation Analysis For Italy," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 155-170, April-Jun.
    12. Janos Varga & Werner Roeger & Jan in’t Veld, 2014. "Growth effects of structural reforms in Southern Europe: the case of Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 323-363, May.
    13. Borislava Mircheva & Mr. Dirk V Muir, 2015. "Spillovers in the Nordic Countries," IMF Working Papers 2015/070, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Mr. Alvar Kangur, 2018. "Competitiveness and Wage Bargaining Reform in Italy," IMF Working Papers 2018/061, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Gerali, Andrea & Locarno, Alberto & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Pisani, Massimiliano, 2018. "The sovereign crisis and Italy’s potential output," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 418-433.
    16. Matteo Bugamelli & Francesca Lotti & Monica Amici & Emanuela Ciapanna & Fabrizio Colonna & Francesco D�Amuri & Silvia Giacomelli & Andrea Linarello & Francesco Manaresi & Giuliana Palumbo & Filippo , 2018. "Productivity growth in Italy: a tale of a slow-motion change," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 422, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    17. Brian Micallef, 2017. "A Sectoral Supply-Side Model to Assess the Impact of Labour Market Reforms in Malta," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(4), pages 105-118, April.
    18. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Finland: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/312, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Emanuela Ciapanna & Sauro Mocetti & Alessandro Notarpietro, 2020. "The effects of structural reforms: Evidence from Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1303, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    20. Marika Santoro, 2015. "Long-term Gain, Short-Term Pain: Assessing the Potential Impact of Structural Reforms in Chile," IMF Working Papers 2015/282, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Andrea Gerali & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2014. "Macroeconomic effects of simultaneous implementation of reforms after the crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 997, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    22. Nazim Belhocine & Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia, 2020. "Identifying Service Market Reform Priorities in Italy," IMF Working Papers 2020/039, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Ana Gouveia & Sílvia Santos & Inês Gonçalves, 2017. "The short-term impact of structural reforms on productivity growth: beyond direct effects," GEE Papers 0065, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Feb 2017.

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