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The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Exchange Rate: Evidence From Three Small Open Economies

Author

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  • Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer

Abstract

This paper studies the impact effect of monetary policy shocks—identified by the reaction of three month market interest rates to policy announcements—on the exchange rate in Australia, Canada, and New Zealand during the 1990s. The main results are that (1) on average, a 100 basis point contractionary shock will appreciate the exchange rate by 2-3 percent on impact; (ii) seemingly “perverse” reactions of the exchange rate to monetary policy are mainly attributable to reverse causality; (iii) in a few instances, there were true “perverse” reactions of exchange rates to policy— generally, appreciations following expansionary shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2000. "The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Exchange Rate: Evidence From Three Small Open Economies," IMF Working Papers 2000/141, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2000/141
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Thomas Philippon & Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer & Mr. Eduardo Borensztein, 2001. "Monetary Independence in Emerging Markets: Does the Exchange Rate Regime Make a Difference?," IMF Working Papers 2001/001, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Mr. Juan Sole, 2004. "Interest Rate Defenses of Currency Pegs," IMF Working Papers 2004/085, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Yang, Sheng-Ping, 2017. "Exchange rate dynamics and stock prices in small open economies: Evidence from Asia-Pacific countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB), pages 337-354.
    4. Dimitris Hatzinikolaou & Metodey Polasek, 2005. "The Commodity-Currency View of the Australian Dollar: A Multivariate Cointegration Approach," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 81-99, May.
    5. José De Gregorio & Andrea Tokman R, 2005. "Flexible exchange rate regime and forex intervention," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Foreign exchange market intervention in emerging markets: motives, techniques and implications, volume 24, pages 127-38, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Mr. Jarkko Soikkeli, 2002. "The Inflation Targeting Framework in Norway," IMF Working Papers 2002/184, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Chen, Yu-chin & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2003. "Commodity currencies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 133-160, May.
    8. Zettelmeyer, Jeromin, 2004. "The impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate: evidence from three small open economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 635-652, April.
    9. Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2003. "The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Bilateral Exchange Rate: Chile Versus the United States," IMF Working Papers 2003/071, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Amartya Lahiri & Carlos A. Vegh, 2000. "Delaying the Inevitable: Optimal Interest Rate Policy and BOP Crises," NBER Working Papers 7734, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Levy-Yeyati, Eduardo & Sturzenegger, Federico, 2005. "Classifying exchange rate regimes: Deeds vs. words," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1603-1635, August.

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